Fact based stock research
UGI (NYSE:UGI)

US9026811052

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

UGI stock research in summary

ugicorp.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with investment alternatives), UGI (Gas Utilities, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of UGI are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 3), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 27), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation based on UGI's financial characteristics. As the company UGI's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 3) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 27), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 100% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	100
Growth Rank	3
Safety Rank	27
Combined Rank	23

Country	USA
Industry	Gas Utilities
Index	Low Emissions, S&P MIDCAP
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

26-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: UGI

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	64	79	100	100
GROWTH
GROWTH	77	69	1	3
SAFETY
SAFETY	39	95	15	27
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	38	5	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	95	1	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 26-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better UGI is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	64	79	100	100
GROWTH
GROWTH	77	69	1	3
SAFETY
SAFETY	39	95	15	27
COMBINED
COMBINED	71	97	9	23

Last update of combined financial performance: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of UGI the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, UGI shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for UGI. Price-to-Sales is 98 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 98% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for UGI's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 98% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 68. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of UGI are expected to be higher than for 97% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 97). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on UGI's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in UGI based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	67	84	98	98
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	61	88	98	98
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	43	58	92	68
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	61	53	95	97
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	64	79	100	100

Last update of Value Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of UGI; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 3 (better than 3% compared with alternatives), UGI shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for UGI. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 8, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 18, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 16. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 84% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 55, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 55% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 3, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for UGI, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	43	38	5	8
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	89	54	22	16
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	50	38	18
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	61	83	1	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	77	69	1	3

Last update of Growth Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of UGI.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), the company UGI has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of UGI is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for UGI. Liquidity is at 63, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 63% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 29, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 71% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 22, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 78% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), UGI has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	33	56	24	22
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	60	91	55	29
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	36	96	4	63
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	39	95	15	27

Last update of Safety Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of UGI and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	87	44	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	7	3	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	34	1	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	38	5	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for UGI.
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