Fact based stock research
United Super Markets Holdings (TSE:3222)

JP3949450005

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

United Super Markets Holdings stock research in summary

usmh.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 20 (worse than 80% compared with investment alternatives), United Super Markets Holdings (Food Retail, Japan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of United Super Markets Holdings are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 36 (worse than 64% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 31) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 54), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 20, is a sell recommendation based on United Super Markets Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company United Super Markets Holdings's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 36) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 31), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 54) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	36
Growth Rank	31
Safety Rank	54
Combined Rank	20

Country	Japan
Industry	Food Retail
Index
Size class	X-Large

2-May-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: United Super Markets Holdings

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	85	31	30	36
GROWTH
GROWTH	11	39	65	31
SAFETY
SAFETY	59	64	50	54
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	1	8	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	7	16	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 2-May-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better United Super Markets Holdings is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	85	31	30	36
GROWTH
GROWTH	11	39	65	31
SAFETY
SAFETY	59	64	50	54
COMBINED
COMBINED	50	24	34	20

Last update of combined financial performance: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of United Super Markets Holdings the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with alternatives), United Super Markets Holdings shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for United Super Markets Holdings. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 97, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 97% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning United Super Markets Holdings's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 83% of alternatives (17% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 27 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 73% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 3, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 36, is a hold recommendation based on United Super Markets Holdings's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for United Super Markets Holdings may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	100	90	93	97
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	69	10	3	3
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	92	66	67	83
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	54	23	25	27
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	85	31	30	36

Last update of Value Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of United Super Markets Holdings; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), United Super Markets Holdings shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for United Super Markets Holdings. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 94, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 94% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 11, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 89% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 35 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 10 (90% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	30	63	91	11
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	1	77	94
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	53	24	35
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	17	51	15	10
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	11	39	65	31

Last update of Growth Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of United Super Markets Holdings.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), the company United Super Markets Holdings has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of United Super Markets Holdings is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for United Super Markets Holdings. Leverage is at a rank of 67, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 67% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 56, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 37, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), United Super Markets Holdings has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for United Super Markets Holdings. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with United Super Markets Holdings and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	79	72	65	67
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	2	25	35	37
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	89	80	59	56
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	59	64	50	54

Last update of Safety Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of United Super Markets Holdings and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	19	1	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	2	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	52	32	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	38	30	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	1	8	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for United Super Markets Holdings.
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