Fact based stock research
Universal Stainless & Alloy Products (NasdaqGS:USAP)
US9138371003
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Universal Stainless & Alloy Products stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Universal Stainless & Alloy Products (Steel, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Universal Stainless & Alloy Products are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 36 (worse than 64% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 57, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Universal Stainless & Alloy Products's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Universal Stainless & Alloy Products exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 36), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 61). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 57) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Steel |
| Index | NASDAQ |
| Size class | Small |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Universal Stainless & Alloy Products
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 49 |
|
63 |
|
55 |
|
36 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 23 |
|
31 |
|
98 |
|
61 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 20 |
|
53 |
|
42 |
|
57 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
15 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
21 |
|
90 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Universal Stainless & Alloy Products (Steel, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Universal Stainless & Alloy Products are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 36 (worse than 64% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 57, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Universal Stainless & Alloy Products's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Universal Stainless & Alloy Products exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 36), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 61). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 57) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 49 |
|
63 |
|
55 |
|
36 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 23 |
|
31 |
|
98 |
|
61 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 20 |
|
53 |
|
42 |
|
57 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 13 |
|
32 |
|
90 |
|
54 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with alternatives), Universal Stainless & Alloy Products shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Universal Stainless & Alloy Products. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 54, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 54% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Universal Stainless & Alloy Products's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 64% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 56. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Universal Stainless & Alloy Products (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 36, is a hold recommendation based on Universal Stainless & Alloy Products's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 75 |
|
89 |
|
80 |
|
54 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 5 |
|
7 |
|
50 |
|
64 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 98 |
|
100 |
|
88 |
|
56 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 49 |
|
63 |
|
55 |
|
36 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Universal Stainless & Alloy Products shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Universal Stainless & Alloy Products. Profit Growth has a rank of 92, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 92% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 99 (above 99% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 4, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 96% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 17. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Universal Stainless & Alloy Products. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 3 |
|
90 |
|
60 |
|
4 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 90 |
|
25 |
|
94 |
|
92 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
17 |
|
55 |
|
17 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 66 |
|
49 |
|
100 |
|
99 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 23 |
|
31 |
|
98 |
|
61 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), the company Universal Stainless & Alloy Products has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Universal Stainless & Alloy Products is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Universal Stainless & Alloy Products and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 83, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 83% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 40, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 60% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 24, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Universal Stainless & Alloy Products has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Universal Stainless & Alloy Products are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Universal Stainless & Alloy Products and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 4 |
|
58 |
|
28 |
|
40 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 98 |
|
92 |
|
97 |
|
83 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 5 |
|
1 |
|
4 |
|
24 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 20 |
|
53 |
|
42 |
|
57 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
10 |
|
83 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
99 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
47 |
|
43 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
1 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
15 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Universal Stainless & Alloy Products from November 14, 2024.
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