Fact based stock research
Utz Brands (NYSE:UTZ)

US9180901012

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Utz Brands stock research in summary

utzsnacks.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Utz Brands (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Utz Brands are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation based on Utz Brands's financial characteristics. As the company Utz Brands shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (85% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 53% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 53). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Utz Brands, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	n/a
Growth Rank	n/a
Safety Rank	n/a
Combined Rank	n/a

Country	USA
Industry	Packaged Foods & Meats
Index	Sound Pay USA
Size class	Large

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Research History: Utz Brands

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	33	32	n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	31	67	n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	22	27	n/a
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	60	22	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	19	21	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: . Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: . Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Utz Brands is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	33	32	n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	31	67	n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	22	27	n/a
COMBINED
COMBINED	n/a	14	29	n/a

Last update of combined financial performance: . Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Utz Brands the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), Utz Brands shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Utz Brands. Price-to-Sales is 33 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 67% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Utz Brands's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 36, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Utz Brands. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 12 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 63% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation based on Utz Brands's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Utz Brands? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Utz Brands? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Utz Brands may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	n/a	41	38	n/a
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	n/a	21	23	n/a
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	n/a	50	53	n/a
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	n/a	46	51	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	n/a	33	32	n/a

Last update of Value Rank: . Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Utz Brands; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Utz Brands shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Utz Brands. Profit Growth has a rank of 56, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 56% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 75 (above 75% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 43, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 57% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 21. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Utz Brands. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	n/a	60	39	n/a
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	85	56	n/a
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	7	88	n/a
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	n/a	17	53	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	n/a	31	67	n/a

Last update of Growth Rank: . Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Utz Brands.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), the company Utz Brands has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Utz Brands is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Utz Brands. Liquidity is at 20, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 80% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 48, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 52% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 37 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), Utz Brands has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Utz Brands because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	n/a	44	48	n/a
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	n/a	33	38	n/a
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	n/a	23	20	n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	n/a	22	27	n/a

Last update of Safety Rank: . Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Utz Brands and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	77	54	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	38	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	70	16	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	26	49	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	60	22	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: . Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Utz Brands.
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