Fact based stock research
Vacasa (NasdaqGS:VCSA)
US91854V1070
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Vacasa stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Vacasa (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Vacasa are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 26), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Vacasa's financial characteristics. As the company Vacasa's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 26), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
Index | NASDAQ |
Size class | Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Vacasa
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | n/a |
|
21 |
|
84 |
|
79 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | n/a |
|
37 |
|
1 |
|
49 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | n/a |
|
35 |
|
19 |
|
26 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
96 |
|
10 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
38 |
|
8 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Vacasa (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Vacasa are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 49), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 26), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Vacasa's financial characteristics. As the company Vacasa's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 49) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 26), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | n/a |
|
21 |
|
84 |
|
79 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | n/a |
|
37 |
|
1 |
|
49 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | n/a |
|
35 |
|
19 |
|
26 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | n/a |
|
25 |
|
10 |
|
54 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Vacasa shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Vacasa. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 94, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 94% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Vacasa's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 75% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Vacasa (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on Vacasa's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | n/a |
|
19 |
|
95 |
|
94 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | n/a |
|
100 |
|
75 |
|
75 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | n/a |
|
68 |
|
77 |
|
74 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | n/a |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | n/a |
|
21 |
|
84 |
|
79 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), Vacasa shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Vacasa. Profit Growth, with a rank of 90 (better than 90% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 93, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 4, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 96% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 13. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | n/a |
|
67 |
|
8 |
|
4 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
69 |
|
1 |
|
90 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
52 |
|
35 |
|
93 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | n/a |
|
15 |
|
1 |
|
13 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | n/a |
|
37 |
|
1 |
|
49 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 26 (better than 26% compared with alternatives), the company Vacasa has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Vacasa is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Vacasa and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 94 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 94% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 16, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 84% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 4, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with alternatives), Vacasa has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Vacasa are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Vacasa and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | n/a |
|
84 |
|
94 |
|
94 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | n/a |
|
29 |
|
6 |
|
16 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | n/a |
|
10 |
|
1 |
|
4 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | n/a |
|
35 |
|
19 |
|
26 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
63 |
|
1 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
83 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
64 |
|
10 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
80 |
|
51 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
96 |
|
10 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Vacasa from December 19, 2024.
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