Fact based stock research
Vistra Energy (NYSE:VST)
US92840M1027
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
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Vistra Energy stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Vistra Energy (Power Producers & Traders, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Vistra Energy are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 68, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on Vistra Energy's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Vistra Energy exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 35), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 59). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 68) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° ViewnewThis stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
27-Mar-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Vistra Energy
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 97 |
|
60 |
|
7 |
|
35 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 67 |
|
100 |
|
99 |
|
59 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 66 |
|
24 |
|
62 |
|
68 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 31 |
|
74 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 85 |
|
86 |
|
64 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Vistra Energy (Power Producers & Traders, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Vistra Energy are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 68, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 66, is a buy recommendation based on Vistra Energy's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Vistra Energy exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 35), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 59). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 68) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 97 |
|
60 |
|
7 |
|
35 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 67 |
|
100 |
|
99 |
|
59 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 66 |
|
24 |
|
62 |
|
68 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 92 |
|
84 |
|
66 |
|
66 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with alternatives), Vistra Energy shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for Vistra Energy. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 56, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Vistra Energy's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 56% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 11 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 11% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 99% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Vistra Energy to 1. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on Vistra Energy's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 100 |
|
95 |
|
33 |
|
56 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 87 |
|
93 |
|
15 |
|
56 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 83 |
|
7 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 55 |
|
22 |
|
7 |
|
11 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 97 |
|
60 |
|
7 |
|
35 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), Vistra Energy shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Vistra Energy. Sales Growth has a rank of 89 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 89% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 100. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 17, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 83% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 11, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 100% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 92 |
|
92 |
|
95 |
|
89 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 4 |
|
96 |
|
97 |
|
11 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 94 |
|
46 |
|
26 |
|
17 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 33 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 67 |
|
100 |
|
99 |
|
59 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 68 (better than 68% compared with alternatives), the company Vistra Energy has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Vistra Energy is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Vistra Energy. Refinancing is at 76, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 76% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 95, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 95% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 6, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 68 (better than 68% compared with alternatives), Vistra Energy has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Vistra Energy could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Vistra Energy and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 68 |
|
8 |
|
9 |
|
6 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 10 |
|
96 |
|
79 |
|
76 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 89 |
|
1 |
|
82 |
|
95 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 66 |
|
24 |
|
62 |
|
68 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
100 |
|
96 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | 30 |
|
50 |
|
71 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | 49 |
|
86 |
|
37 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | 2 |
|
17 |
|
14 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | 31 |
|
74 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Vistra Energy from March 27, 2025.
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