Fact based stock research
Vital Farms (NasdaqGM:VITL)
US92847W1036
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Vital Farms stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Vital Farms (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Vital Farms are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 90, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 84, is a strong buy recommendation based on Vital Farms's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Vital Farms exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 9), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 99). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 90) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | NASDAQ |
| Size class | Medium |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Vital Farms
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 8 |
|
7 |
|
24 |
|
9 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 28 |
|
45 |
|
99 |
|
99 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 38 |
|
98 |
|
92 |
|
90 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
44 |
|
64 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
51 |
|
92 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Vital Farms (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Vital Farms are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 90, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 84, is a strong buy recommendation based on Vital Farms's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Vital Farms exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 9), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 99). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 90) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 8 |
|
7 |
|
24 |
|
9 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 28 |
|
45 |
|
99 |
|
99 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 38 |
|
98 |
|
92 |
|
90 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 10 |
|
53 |
|
94 |
|
84 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% compared with alternatives), Vital Farms shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Vital Farms. Price-to-Sales is 25 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 75% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Vital Farms's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 7, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Vital Farms. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 14 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation based on Vital Farms's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Vital Farms? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Vital Farms? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Vital Farms may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 38 |
|
31 |
|
55 |
|
25 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 20 |
|
3 |
|
29 |
|
14 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 22 |
|
31 |
|
47 |
|
7 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 8 |
|
7 |
|
24 |
|
9 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Vital Farms shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Vital Farms. Sales Growth has a value of 96, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 96% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 92 and for Capital Growth with 81. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 100, which means they have been higher than 100% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Vital Farms exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 63 |
|
92 |
|
94 |
|
96 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
14 |
|
100 |
|
92 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
62 |
|
100 |
|
81 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 4 |
|
15 |
|
55 |
|
100 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 28 |
|
45 |
|
99 |
|
99 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Vital Farms has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Vital Farms is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Vital Farms. Leverage is at 82, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 82% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 59, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 85, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 85% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives), Vital Farms has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Vital Farms but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 88 |
|
86 |
|
80 |
|
82 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 38 |
|
75 |
|
72 |
|
59 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 20 |
|
88 |
|
86 |
|
85 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 38 |
|
98 |
|
92 |
|
90 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
43 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
26 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
32 |
|
22 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
88 |
|
83 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
44 |
|
64 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Vital Farms from December 19, 2024.
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