Fact based stock research
Viva Energy Group (ASX:VEA)

AU0000016875

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Viva Energy Group stock research in summary

investor.vivaenergy.com.auinvestor-centre

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with investment alternatives), Viva Energy Group (Oil & Gas Refining, Australia) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Viva Energy Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 19), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 3), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Viva Energy Group's financial characteristics. As the company Viva Energy Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 85) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 19) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 3), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 85% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	85
Growth Rank	19
Safety Rank	3
Combined Rank	17

Country	Australia
Industry	Oil & Gas Refining
Index	ASX 200, ASX 300, Low Emissions
Size class	XX-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Viva Energy Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	39	91	94	85
GROWTH
GROWTH	54	100	41	19
SAFETY
SAFETY	30	4	1	3
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	88	42	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	97	28	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Viva Energy Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	39	91	94	85
GROWTH
GROWTH	54	100	41	19
SAFETY
SAFETY	30	4	1	3
COMBINED
COMBINED	3	74	34	17

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Viva Energy Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Viva Energy Group shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Viva Energy Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 100, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 100% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Viva Energy Group's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 68% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 94 (dividends are expected to be higher than 94% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 70% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Viva Energy Group to 30. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation based on Viva Energy Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	96	100	100	100
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	35	68	84	68
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	51	68	36	30
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	86	96	98	94
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	39	91	94	85

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Viva Energy Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 19 (better than 19% compared with alternatives), Viva Energy Group shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Viva Energy Group. Sales Growth has a rank of 26, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 74% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 44, and Capital Growth with 35. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 33, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 67% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	56	73	18	26
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	100	15	44
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	98	75	35
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	56	87	81	33
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	54	100	41	19

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Viva Energy Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 3 (better than 3% compared with alternatives), the company Viva Energy Group has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Viva Energy Group is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Viva Energy Group. Liquidity is at 15, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 85% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 2, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 98% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 11 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 89% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 3 (worse than 97% compared with alternatives), Viva Energy Group has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Viva Energy Group because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	29	4	6	2
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	71	15	5	11
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	27	10	14	15
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	30	4	1	3

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Viva Energy Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	67	40	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	87	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	94	55	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	64	24	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	88	42	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Viva Energy Group.
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