Fact based stock research
White Mountains Insurance Group (NYSE:WTM)

BMG9618E1075

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

White Mountains Insurance Group stock research in summary

whitemountains.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with investment alternatives), White Mountains Insurance Group (Property & Casualty Insurance, Bermuda) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of White Mountains Insurance Group are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 37), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 25), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 8, is a sell recommendation based on White Mountains Insurance Group's financial characteristics. As the company White Mountains Insurance Group's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 35), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 37), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 25), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	35
Growth Rank	37
Safety Rank	25
Combined Rank	8

Country	Bermuda
Industry	Property & Casualty Insurance
Index
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: White Mountains Insurance Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	29	27	38	35
GROWTH
GROWTH	64	77	47	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	44	25	25	25
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	38	6	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	41	43	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better White Mountains Insurance Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	29	27	38	35
GROWTH
GROWTH	64	77	47	37
SAFETY
SAFETY	44	25	25	25
COMBINED
COMBINED	41	8	8	8

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of White Mountains Insurance Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with alternatives), White Mountains Insurance Group shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators where three out of four are below average for White Mountains Insurance Group. Only the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) indicates good stock value with a Price-to-Book Rank of 62, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 62% of comparable investments. All other value indicators are below the market median. Price-to-Sales is 49 which means the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 51% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning White Mountains Insurance Group's revenue levels. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 62 and for the dividend yields rank which is lower than for 81% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on White Mountains Insurance Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Why are market participants paying such a high price for White Mountains Insurance Group, where three out of four value indicators are below par? One reason could be that the company is well financed, indicated by the high book capital level, and has a promising future that is not yet visible in reported revenues and profits. That would also explain the low dividend yield because the company needs the cash to invest in its future. If investors can verify a picture in this sense, the stock may still be a good investment, even though current company-reported financials don't fully explain current stock prices. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	20	30	45	49
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	25	5	9	13
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	76	74	73	62
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	34	18	20	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	29	27	38	35

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of White Mountains Insurance Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), White Mountains Insurance Group shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for White Mountains Insurance Group. Sales Growth has a rank of 97 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 97% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 57. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 41, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 59% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 3, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 57% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	85	85	97	97
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	98	91	18	3
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	55	69	41
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	69	47	29	57
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	64	77	47	37

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of White Mountains Insurance Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), the company White Mountains Insurance Group has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of White Mountains Insurance Group is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for White Mountains Insurance Group. Leverage is at a rank of 81, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 81% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 75, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 44, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 56% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with alternatives), White Mountains Insurance Group has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for White Mountains Insurance Group. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with White Mountains Insurance Group and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	33	89	79	81
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	67	44	44	44
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	38	85	55	75
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	44	25	25	25

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of White Mountains Insurance Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	19	11	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	99	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	55	20	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	1	3	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	38	6	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for White Mountains Insurance Group.
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