Fact based stock research
Willis Towers Watson (NasdaqGS:WLTW)
IE00BDB6Q211
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
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Willis Towers Watson stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Willis Towers Watson (Insurance Brokers, United Kingdom) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Willis Towers Watson are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 3 (worse than 97% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation based on Willis Towers Watson's financial characteristics. As the company Willis Towers Watson's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 3) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Research History: Willis Towers Watson
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 21 |
|
3 |
|
3 |
|
3 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 32 |
|
1 |
|
37 |
|
15 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 25 |
|
78 |
|
78 |
|
78 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
35 |
|
81 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
1 |
|
31 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 19 (worse than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Willis Towers Watson (Insurance Brokers, United Kingdom) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Willis Towers Watson are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 3 (worse than 97% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 19, is a sell recommendation based on Willis Towers Watson's financial characteristics. As the company Willis Towers Watson's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 3) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 21 |
|
3 |
|
3 |
|
3 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 32 |
|
1 |
|
37 |
|
15 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 25 |
|
78 |
|
78 |
|
78 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 3 |
|
19 |
|
19 |
|
19 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 3 (worse than 97% compared with alternatives), Willis Towers Watson shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Willis Towers Watson. Price-to-Sales is 5 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 95% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Willis Towers Watson's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 7, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Willis Towers Watson. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 9 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 93% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 3, is a sell recommendation based on Willis Towers Watson's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Willis Towers Watson? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Willis Towers Watson? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Willis Towers Watson may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 39 |
|
13 |
|
9 |
|
5 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 32 |
|
11 |
|
13 |
|
9 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 10 |
|
11 |
|
12 |
|
7 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 31 |
|
9 |
|
8 |
|
7 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 21 |
|
3 |
|
3 |
|
3 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), Willis Towers Watson shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Willis Towers Watson. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 10, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 90% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 13, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 46. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 54% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 73, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 73% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Willis Towers Watson, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 26 |
|
7 |
|
58 |
|
10 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 64 |
|
27 |
|
41 |
|
46 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
19 |
|
45 |
|
13 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 41 |
|
29 |
|
23 |
|
73 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 32 |
|
1 |
|
37 |
|
15 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2022, the company Willis Towers Watson has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Willis Towers Watson is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Willis Towers Watson. Liquidity is at 38, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 62% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 46, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 54% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 21 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives), Willis Towers Watson has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Willis Towers Watson because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 39 |
|
32 |
|
58 |
|
46 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 37 |
|
21 |
|
21 |
|
21 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 22 |
|
18 |
|
26 |
|
38 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 25 |
|
78 |
|
78 |
|
78 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
30 |
|
22 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
30 |
|
45 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
89 |
|
99 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
36 |
|
81 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
35 |
|
81 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Willis Towers Watson from November 14, 2024.
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