Fact based stock research
XL Axiata (IDX:EXCL)
ID1000102502
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
XL Axiata stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 33 (worse than 67% compared with investment alternatives), XL Axiata (Wireless Telecommunication, Indonesia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of XL Axiata are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 67) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 5), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation based on XL Axiata's financial characteristics. As the company XL Axiata's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 67), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 5) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
Latest Obermatt Ranks
Log in or sign up to see the new 360° View and Sentiment ranks.
360° Viewnew| Country | Indonesia |
| Industry | Wireless Telecommunication |
| Index | Artificial Intelligence, IDX Composite |
| Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
28-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: XL Axiata
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 31 |
|
47 |
|
58 |
|
55 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 49 |
|
53 |
|
61 |
|
67 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
|
5 |
|
11 |
|
5 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
75 |
|
56 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
41 |
|
40 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 33 (worse than 67% compared with investment alternatives), XL Axiata (Wireless Telecommunication, Indonesia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of XL Axiata are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 67) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 5), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation based on XL Axiata's financial characteristics. As the company XL Axiata's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 67), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 5) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 31 |
|
47 |
|
58 |
|
55 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 49 |
|
53 |
|
61 |
|
67 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 1 |
|
5 |
|
11 |
|
5 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 12 |
|
19 |
|
32 |
|
33 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), XL Axiata shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for XL Axiata. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 76, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 76% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning XL Axiata's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 72% of alternatives (28% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 46 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 54% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 43, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on XL Axiata's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for XL Axiata may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 61 |
|
69 |
|
82 |
|
76 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 1 |
|
28 |
|
38 |
|
43 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 60 |
|
63 |
|
75 |
|
72 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 35 |
|
34 |
|
45 |
|
46 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 31 |
|
47 |
|
58 |
|
55 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), XL Axiata shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for XL Axiata. Sales Growth has a value of 64 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 64% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 79 and Capital Growth with a rank of 58 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 45, which means that stock returns have recently been below 55% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. XL Axiata has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for XL Axiata, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 33 |
|
42 |
|
61 |
|
64 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 52 |
|
89 |
|
62 |
|
79 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
7 |
|
36 |
|
58 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 64 |
|
59 |
|
41 |
|
45 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 49 |
|
53 |
|
61 |
|
67 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 5 (better than 5% compared with alternatives), the company XL Axiata has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of XL Axiata is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for XL Axiata. Liquidity is at 22, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 78% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 28, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 5 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 95% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with alternatives), XL Axiata has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of XL Axiata because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 13 |
|
28 |
|
32 |
|
28 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 4 |
|
9 |
|
9 |
|
5 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 24 |
|
14 |
|
22 |
|
22 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 1 |
|
5 |
|
11 |
|
5 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
3 |
|
77 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
45 |
|
20 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
99 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
93 |
|
87 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
75 |
|
56 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for XL Axiata from November 28, 2024.
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our free research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.