Fact based stock research
Yamazaki Baking (TSE:2212)

JP3935600001

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Yamazaki Baking stock research in summary

yamazakipan.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 31 (worse than 69% compared with investment alternatives), Yamazaki Baking (Packaged Foods & Meats, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Yamazaki Baking are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 27) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 57), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation based on Yamazaki Baking's financial characteristics. As the company Yamazaki Baking's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 49) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 27), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 57) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	49
Growth Rank	27
Safety Rank	57
Combined Rank	31

Country	Japan
Industry	Packaged Foods & Meats
Index
Size class	X-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Yamazaki Baking

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	85	57	24	49
GROWTH
GROWTH	33	61	91	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	87	49	35	57
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	9	50	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	27	53	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Yamazaki Baking is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	85	57	24	49
GROWTH
GROWTH	33	61	91	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	87	49	35	57
COMBINED
COMBINED	79	63	51	31

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Yamazaki Baking the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Yamazaki Baking shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Yamazaki Baking. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 59, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 59% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Yamazaki Baking's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 27, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 73% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 58% of alternatives (only 42% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 53% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Yamazaki Baking's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Yamazaki Baking could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Yamazaki Baking looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	90	81	60	59
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	53	17	18	47
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	86	83	32	42
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	50	31	14	27
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	85	57	24	49

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Yamazaki Baking; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), Yamazaki Baking shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Yamazaki Baking. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 64, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 64% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 30, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 37 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 27 (73% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	20	38	33	30
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	19	76	90	64
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	51	50	37
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	48	39	100	27
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	33	61	91	27

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Yamazaki Baking.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), the company Yamazaki Baking has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Yamazaki Baking is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Yamazaki Baking. Leverage is at a rank of 62, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 62% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 75, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 21, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Yamazaki Baking has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Yamazaki Baking. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Yamazaki Baking and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	94	64	62	62
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	8	29	19	21
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	53	59	75
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	87	49	35	57

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Yamazaki Baking and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	37	56	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	30	69	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	35	42	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	44	48	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	9	50	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Yamazaki Baking.
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