Fact based stock research
Daicel (TSE:4202)

JP3485800001

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Daicel stock research in summary

daicel.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with investment alternatives), Daicel (Diversified Chemicals, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Daicel are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 59, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 75, is a strong buy recommendation based on Daicel's financial characteristics. As the company Daicel's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 97) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 59), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 97% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	97
Growth Rank	33
Safety Rank	59
Combined Rank	75

Country	Japan
Industry	Diversified Chemicals
Index	Low Emissions
Size class	X-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Daicel

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	100	97	97
GROWTH
GROWTH	46	73	67	33
SAFETY
SAFETY	47	61	50	59
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	8	59	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	71	92	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Daicel is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	100	97	97
GROWTH
GROWTH	46	73	67	33
SAFETY
SAFETY	47	61	50	59
COMBINED
COMBINED	79	96	88	75

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Daicel the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Daicel shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Daicel. Price-to-Sales is 72 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 72% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Daicel's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 57. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Daicel are expected to be higher than for 89% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 89). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 97, is a buy recommendation based on Daicel's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Daicel based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	89	93	78	72
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	98	80	95	95
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	94	80	58	57
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	88	81	82	89
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	100	100	97	97

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Daicel; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), Daicel shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Daicel. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 30, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 42, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 43. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 57% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 65, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 65% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Daicel, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	38	58	59	30
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	68	53	71	43
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	85	12	42
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	40	57	95	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	46	73	67	33

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Daicel.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), the company Daicel has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Daicel is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Daicel. Refinancing is at 79, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 75, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 18, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 82% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), Daicel has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Daicel could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Daicel and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	4	6	6	18
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	100	99	75	79
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	32	57	62	75
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	47	61	50	59

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Daicel and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	1	37	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	13	72	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	68	96	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	36	37	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	8	59	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Daicel.
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