Fact based stock research
Air Water (TSE:4088)

JP3160670000

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Air Water stock research in summary

awi.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Air Water (Industrial Gases, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Air Water are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 29), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Air Water's financial characteristics. As the company Air Water's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 77) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 29), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 77% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	77
Growth Rank	29
Safety Rank	29
Combined Rank	37

Country	Japan
Industry	Industrial Gases
Index
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Air Water

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	98	79	81	77
GROWTH
GROWTH	15	41	69	29
SAFETY
SAFETY	45	28	24	29
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	6	64	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	19	63	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Air Water is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	98	79	81	77
GROWTH
GROWTH	15	41	69	29
SAFETY
SAFETY	45	28	24	29
COMBINED
COMBINED	51	42	68	37

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Air Water the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Air Water shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Air Water. Price-to-Sales is 82 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 82% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Air Water's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 86% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 55. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Air Water are expected to be higher than for 50% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 50). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation based on Air Water's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Air Water based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	95	84	87	82
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	76	67	89	86
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	90	64	51	55
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	84	61	64	50
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	98	79	81	77

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Air Water; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), Air Water shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Air Water. Profit Growth has a rank of 58, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 58% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 61 (above 61% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 39, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 61% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 19. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Air Water. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	27	24	46	39
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	83	32	67	58
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	74	52	19
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	36	41	73	61
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	15	41	69	29

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Air Water.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), the company Air Water has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Air Water is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Air Water. Liquidity is at 57, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 57% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 37, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 14, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 86% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with alternatives), Air Water has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	6	14	14	14
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	94	51	39	37
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	34	54	54	57
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	45	28	24	29

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Air Water and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	17	60	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	18	89	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	31	54	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	34	32	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	6	64	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Air Water.
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