Fact based stock research
Australian Finance Group (ASX:AFG)

AU000000AFG9

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Australian Finance Group stock research in summary

afgonline.com.au

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with investment alternatives), Australian Finance Group (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, Australia) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Australian Finance Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 79), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 95, is a strong buy recommendation based on Australian Finance Group's financial characteristics. As the company Australian Finance Group's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 73), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 79), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Australian Finance Group. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	61
Growth Rank	73
Safety Rank	79
Combined Rank	95

Country	Australia
Industry	Thrifts & Mortgage Finance
Index	ASX 300
Size class	Medium

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Australian Finance Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	48	63	58	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	44	20	7	73
SAFETY
SAFETY	29	70	83	79
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	42	8	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	43	22	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Australian Finance Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	48	63	58	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	44	20	7	73
SAFETY
SAFETY	29	70	83	79
COMBINED
COMBINED	26	53	50	95

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Australian Finance Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Australian Finance Group shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Australian Finance Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 100, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 100% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Australian Finance Group's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 82, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 82% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 90% of alternatives (only 10% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 58% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Australian Finance Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	93	76	100	100
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	32	49	41	42
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	8	7	12	10
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	70	98	67	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	48	63	58	61

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Australian Finance Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), Australian Finance Group shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Australian Finance Group. Sales Growth has a rank of 73 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 73% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 21% of competitors with a rank of 93. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 21, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 79% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 41. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	73	4	23	73
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	48	6	21
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	87	27	93
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	26	19	61	41
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	44	20	7	73

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Australian Finance Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Australian Finance Group has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Australian Finance Group is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Australian Finance Group. Refinancing is at 99, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 88, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 88% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 1, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives), Australian Finance Group has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Australian Finance Group could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Australian Finance Group and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	6	1	1	1
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	78	80	99	99
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	7	96	88	88
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	29	70	83	79

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Australian Finance Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	89	34	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	9	11	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	67	32	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	40	36	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	42	8	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Australian Finance Group.
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