Fact based stock research
Axfood (OM:AXFO)
SE0006993770
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Axfood stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with investment alternatives), Axfood (Food Retail, Sweden) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Axfood are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 74) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 52, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation based on Axfood's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Axfood exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 22), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 74). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 52) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Sweden |
| Industry | Food Retail |
| Index | Diversity Europe, Human Rights |
| Size class | X-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Axfood
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 55 |
|
19 |
|
14 |
|
22 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 46 |
|
41 |
|
33 |
|
74 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 58 |
|
75 |
|
65 |
|
52 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
61 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
45 |
|
28 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with investment alternatives), Axfood (Food Retail, Sweden) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Axfood are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 74) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 52, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation based on Axfood's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Axfood exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 22), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 74). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 52) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 55 |
|
19 |
|
14 |
|
22 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 46 |
|
41 |
|
33 |
|
74 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 58 |
|
75 |
|
65 |
|
52 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 48 |
|
35 |
|
24 |
|
57 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% compared with alternatives), Axfood shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Axfood. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 58% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 44 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 56% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Axfood's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 25 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 75% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 11 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 89% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 22, is a sell recommendation based on Axfood's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Axfood? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Axfood only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 45 |
|
47 |
|
36 |
|
44 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 45 |
|
20 |
|
17 |
|
25 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 2 |
|
12 |
|
10 |
|
11 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 64 |
|
44 |
|
49 |
|
58 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 55 |
|
19 |
|
14 |
|
22 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), Axfood shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Axfood. Sales Growth has a rank of 63 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 63% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 45% of competitors with a rank of 68. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 45, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 55% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 40. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 74, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 30 |
|
75 |
|
54 |
|
63 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
23 |
|
56 |
|
45 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
7 |
|
16 |
|
68 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 86 |
|
71 |
|
34 |
|
40 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 46 |
|
41 |
|
33 |
|
74 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), the company Axfood has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Axfood is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Axfood. Liquidity is at 88, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 88% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 26, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 74% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 29, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 71% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), Axfood has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 66 |
|
52 |
|
40 |
|
29 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 34 |
|
33 |
|
35 |
|
26 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 65 |
|
91 |
|
93 |
|
88 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 58 |
|
75 |
|
65 |
|
52 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
9 |
|
62 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
83 |
|
25 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
68 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
58 |
|
89 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
61 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Axfood from November 14, 2024.
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