Fact based stock research
Ternium (NYSE:TX)

US8808901081

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Ternium stock research in summary

ternium.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with investment alternatives), Ternium (Steel, Luxembourg) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Ternium are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 98, is a strong buy recommendation based on Ternium's financial characteristics. As the company Ternium's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 97) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 97% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	97
Growth Rank	45
Safety Rank	100
Combined Rank	98

Country	Luxembourg
Industry	Steel
Index	Low Emissions
Size class	XX-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Ternium

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	90	89	94	97
GROWTH
GROWTH	95	73	85	45
SAFETY
SAFETY	95	94	98	100
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	74	46	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	100	98	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Ternium is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	90	89	94	97
GROWTH
GROWTH	95	73	85	45
SAFETY
SAFETY	95	94	98	100
COMBINED
COMBINED	100	100	100	98

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Ternium the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Ternium shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Ternium. Price-to-Sales is 77 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 77% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Ternium's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 100% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 82. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Ternium are expected to be higher than for 85% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 85). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 97, is a buy recommendation based on Ternium's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Ternium based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	70	59	60	77
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	90	93	91	100
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	78	86	74	82
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	76	75	86	85
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	90	89	94	97

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Ternium; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), Ternium shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Ternium. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 96, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 35% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 27 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 73% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 35 and Stock Returns with a rank of 25 are also low (below 75% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Ternium is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	80	8	86	27
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	79	42	35
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	94	49	96
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	86	85	85	25
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	95	73	85	45

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Ternium.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Ternium has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Ternium is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Ternium. Leverage is at 80, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 80% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 93, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 93% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 94, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Ternium has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Ternium but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	58	78	90	80
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	86	85	91	93
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	90	76	83	94
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	95	94	98	100

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Ternium and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	47	59	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	61	21	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	32	10	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	92	93	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	74	46	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Ternium.
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