Fact based stock research
BAE Systems (LSE:BA.)
GB0002634946
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
BAE Systems stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 13 (worse than 87% compared with investment alternatives), BAE Systems (Aerospace & Defense, United Kingdom) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of BAE Systems are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 23 (worse than 77% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 31, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation based on BAE Systems's financial characteristics. As the company BAE Systems shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 23 (77% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 59% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 59). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 31 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for BAE Systems, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | United Kingdom |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Index | FTSE All Shares, FTSE 100, FTSE 350, Diversity Europe |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Insight 2015-07-17.
26-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: BAE Systems
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 93 |
|
37 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 33 |
|
17 |
|
77 |
|
59 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 19 |
|
27 |
|
17 |
|
31 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
92 |
|
91 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
34 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 13 (worse than 87% compared with investment alternatives), BAE Systems (Aerospace & Defense, United Kingdom) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of BAE Systems are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 23 (worse than 77% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 31, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation based on BAE Systems's financial characteristics. As the company BAE Systems shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 23 (77% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 59% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 59). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 31 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for BAE Systems, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 93 |
|
37 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 33 |
|
17 |
|
77 |
|
59 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 19 |
|
27 |
|
17 |
|
31 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 51 |
|
6 |
|
17 |
|
13 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with alternatives), BAE Systems shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for BAE Systems. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 65% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 29 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 71% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning BAE Systems's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 27 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 73% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 15 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 85% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation based on BAE Systems's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick BAE Systems? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose BAE Systems only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 67 |
|
43 |
|
22 |
|
29 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 86 |
|
56 |
|
32 |
|
27 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 50 |
|
24 |
|
24 |
|
15 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 92 |
|
70 |
|
67 |
|
65 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 93 |
|
37 |
|
23 |
|
23 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), BAE Systems shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for BAE Systems. Sales Growth has a value of 75, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 75% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 60 and for Capital Growth with 55. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 53, which means they have been higher than 53% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, BAE Systems exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 20 |
|
12 |
|
78 |
|
75 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 75 |
|
10 |
|
42 |
|
60 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
34 |
|
57 |
|
55 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 54 |
|
70 |
|
67 |
|
53 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 33 |
|
17 |
|
77 |
|
59 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), the company BAE Systems has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of BAE Systems is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for BAE Systems and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 54 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 54% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 17, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 83% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 47, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 53% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 31 (worse than 69% compared with alternatives), BAE Systems has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of BAE Systems are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with BAE Systems and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 33 |
|
40 |
|
55 |
|
54 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 15 |
|
14 |
|
19 |
|
17 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 68 |
|
55 |
|
36 |
|
47 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 19 |
|
27 |
|
17 |
|
31 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
44 |
|
75 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
55 |
|
28 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
83 |
|
93 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
95 |
|
96 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
92 |
|
91 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for BAE Systems from December 26, 2024.
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