Fact based stock research
Billerud (OM:BILL)

SE0000862997

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Billerud stock research in summary

billerudkorsnas.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Billerud (Paper Packaging, Sweden) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Billerud are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 91) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 41), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on Billerud's financial characteristics. As the company Billerud's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 91), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 41) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	81
Growth Rank	91
Safety Rank	41
Combined Rank	89

Country	Sweden
Industry	Paper Packaging
Index	Low Emissions, Dividends Europe, Energy Efficient, Human Rights, Renewables Users
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Billerud

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	63	79	81
GROWTH
GROWTH	36	87	3	91
SAFETY
SAFETY	28	37	77	41
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	4	13	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	45	33	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Billerud is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	63	79	81
GROWTH
GROWTH	36	87	3	91
SAFETY
SAFETY	28	37	77	41
COMBINED
COMBINED	18	79	71	89

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Billerud the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Billerud shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Billerud. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 71 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Billerud's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Billerud are expected to be higher than for 76% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 76). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 47, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation based on Billerud's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	41	53	73	71
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	26	38	39	47
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	45	62	87	74
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	73	84	77	76
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	44	63	79	81

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Billerud; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Billerud shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Billerud. Profit Growth has a rank of 94 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 94% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 96, and Stock Returns has a rank of 55 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 55% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 25 (75% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	20	50	33	25
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	33	78	17	94
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	96	20	96
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	33	47	23	55
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	36	87	3	91

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Billerud.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), the company Billerud has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Billerud is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Billerud and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 68 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 41, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 26, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 74% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), Billerud has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Billerud are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Billerud and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	49	70	88	68
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	20	25	29	41
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	49	29	82	26
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	28	37	77	41

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Billerud and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	1	15	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	26	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	49	53	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	30	13	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	4	13	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Billerud.
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