Fact based stock research
Billerud (OM:BILL)

SE0000862997

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Billerud stock research in summary

billerudkorsnas.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Billerud (Paper Packaging, Sweden) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Billerud are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 85, is a strong buy recommendation based on Billerud's financial characteristics. As the company Billerud's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 77), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 37) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	87
Growth Rank	77
Safety Rank	37
Combined Rank	85

Country	Sweden
Industry	Paper Packaging
Index	Low Emissions, Dividends Europe, Energy Efficient, Human Rights, Renewables Users
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Billerud

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	63	79	87
GROWTH
GROWTH	36	87	3	77
SAFETY
SAFETY	28	37	77	37
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	4	13	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	45	33	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Billerud is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	44	63	79	87
GROWTH
GROWTH	36	87	3	77
SAFETY
SAFETY	28	37	77	37
COMBINED
COMBINED	18	79	71	85

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Billerud the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Billerud shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Billerud. Price-to-Sales is 73 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 73% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Billerud's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 56% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 76. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Billerud are expected to be higher than for 76% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 76). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation based on Billerud's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Billerud based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	41	53	73	73
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	26	38	39	56
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	45	62	87	76
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	73	84	77	76
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	44	63	79	87

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Billerud; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Billerud shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Billerud. Profit Growth, with a rank of 92 (better than 92% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 73, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 20, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 80% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 49. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	20	50	33	20
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	33	78	17	92
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	96	20	73
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	33	47	23	49
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	36	87	3	77

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Billerud.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), the company Billerud has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Billerud is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Billerud and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 68 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 37, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 24, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), Billerud has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Billerud are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Billerud and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	49	70	88	68
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	20	25	29	37
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	49	29	82	24
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	28	37	77	37

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Billerud and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	1	15	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	26	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	49	53	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	30	13	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	4	13	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Billerud.
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