Fact based stock research
Cosmo Energy Holdings (TSE:5021)

JP3298000005

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

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Cosmo Energy Holdings stock research in summary

ceh.cosmo-oil.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Cosmo Energy Holdings (Oil & Gas Refining, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Cosmo Energy Holdings are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 51, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Cosmo Energy Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company Cosmo Energy Holdings's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 93) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 51), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 93% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	93
Growth Rank	33
Safety Rank	51
Combined Rank	63

Country	Japan
Industry	Oil & Gas Refining
Index
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Cosmo Energy Holdings

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	99	91	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	37	23	61	33
SAFETY
SAFETY	54	12	14	51
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	40	32	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	37	44	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Cosmo Energy Holdings is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	99	91	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	37	23	61	33
SAFETY
SAFETY	54	12	14	51
COMBINED
COMBINED	76	34	66	63

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Cosmo Energy Holdings the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Cosmo Energy Holdings shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Cosmo Energy Holdings. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 86, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 86% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Cosmo Energy Holdings's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 91% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 83 (dividends are expected to be higher than 83% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 56% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Cosmo Energy Holdings to 44. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation based on Cosmo Energy Holdings's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	100	100	91	86
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	100	100	93	91
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	94	95	67	44
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	80	78	85	83
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	100	99	91	93

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Cosmo Energy Holdings; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), Cosmo Energy Holdings shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Cosmo Energy Holdings. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 8, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 17, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 43. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 57% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 87, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 87% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Cosmo Energy Holdings, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	7	14	18	8
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	37	24	70	43
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	49	29	17
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	62	67	97	87
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	37	23	61	33

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Cosmo Energy Holdings.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), the company Cosmo Energy Holdings has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Cosmo Energy Holdings is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Cosmo Energy Holdings. Liquidity is at 81, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 81% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 37, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 26, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 74% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Cosmo Energy Holdings has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	1	4	6	26
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	98	1	17	37
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	59	59	66	81
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	54	12	14	51

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Cosmo Energy Holdings and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	42	34	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	26	94	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	69	39	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	43	14	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	40	32	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Cosmo Energy Holdings.
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