Fact based stock research
Ferroglobe (NasdaqGS:GSM)
GB00BYW6GV68
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Ferroglobe stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with investment alternatives), Ferroglobe (Diversified Metals & Mining, United Kingdom) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ferroglobe are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation based on Ferroglobe's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Ferroglobe exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 31), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 57). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | United Kingdom |
| Industry | Diversified Metals & Mining |
| Index | Human Rights, Iron, Sound Pay Europe, Solar Tech, NASDAQ |
| Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Ferroglobe
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
|
7 |
|
11 |
|
31 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 54 |
|
57 |
|
23 |
|
57 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 26 |
|
10 |
|
42 |
|
78 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
27 |
|
79 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
5 |
|
20 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with investment alternatives), Ferroglobe (Diversified Metals & Mining, United Kingdom) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ferroglobe are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 78, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation based on Ferroglobe's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Ferroglobe exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 31), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 57). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 78) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
|
7 |
|
11 |
|
31 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 54 |
|
57 |
|
23 |
|
57 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 26 |
|
10 |
|
42 |
|
78 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 10 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
57 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 31 (worse than 69% compared with alternatives), Ferroglobe shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Ferroglobe. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 66, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Ferroglobe's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 61% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 58. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 13% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Ferroglobe (a Dividend Yield Rank of 13). 87% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation based on Ferroglobe's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 70 |
|
68 |
|
35 |
|
66 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 4 |
|
91 |
|
78 |
|
61 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 20 |
|
10 |
|
30 |
|
58 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
13 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 16 |
|
7 |
|
11 |
|
31 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Ferroglobe shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Ferroglobe. Sales Growth has a rank of 75 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 75% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 14% of competitors with a rank of 65. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 14, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 86% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 39. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 21 |
|
7 |
|
9 |
|
75 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 40 |
|
43 |
|
27 |
|
14 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
70 |
|
13 |
|
65 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 100 |
|
100 |
|
93 |
|
39 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 54 |
|
57 |
|
23 |
|
57 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Ferroglobe has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Ferroglobe is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Ferroglobe.Leverage is at 72, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 72% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 79, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 47, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 53% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives), Ferroglobe has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Ferroglobe more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 22 |
|
17 |
|
36 |
|
72 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 80 |
|
38 |
|
65 |
|
79 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 3 |
|
8 |
|
38 |
|
47 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 26 |
|
10 |
|
42 |
|
78 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
73 |
|
82 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
17 |
|
100 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
6 |
|
9 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
27 |
|
79 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Ferroglobe from November 14, 2024.
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