Fact based stock research
Gold Road Resources (ASX:GOR)
AU000000GOR5
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
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Gold Road Resources stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Gold Road Resources (Gold Production, Australia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Gold Road Resources are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 58, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation based on Gold Road Resources's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Gold Road Resources exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 21), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 57). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 58) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Research History: Gold Road Resources
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
|
25 |
|
12 |
|
21 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 21 |
|
61 |
|
73 |
|
57 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 49 |
|
20 |
|
40 |
|
58 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
4 |
|
49 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
7 |
|
29 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Gold Road Resources (Gold Production, Australia) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Gold Road Resources are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 58, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation based on Gold Road Resources's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Gold Road Resources exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 21), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 57). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 58) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 16 |
|
25 |
|
12 |
|
21 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 21 |
|
61 |
|
73 |
|
57 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 49 |
|
20 |
|
40 |
|
58 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 27 |
|
14 |
|
33 |
|
42 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with alternatives), Gold Road Resources shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Gold Road Resources. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 57, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 57% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Gold Road Resources's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 7 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 93% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Gold Road Resources's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 12 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 54% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 21, is a sell recommendation based on Gold Road Resources's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Gold Road Resources is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 16 |
|
20 |
|
10 |
|
7 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 43 |
|
41 |
|
29 |
|
57 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 22 |
|
24 |
|
17 |
|
12 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 44 |
|
40 |
|
42 |
|
46 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 16 |
|
25 |
|
12 |
|
21 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Gold Road Resources shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Gold Road Resources. Sales Growth has a rank of 93 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 93% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 50, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 55, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 25, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 75% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 11 |
|
89 |
|
73 |
|
93 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 5 |
|
14 |
|
70 |
|
50 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
47 |
|
27 |
|
25 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 56 |
|
61 |
|
67 |
|
55 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 21 |
|
61 |
|
73 |
|
57 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), the company Gold Road Resources has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Gold Road Resources is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Gold Road Resources. Leverage is at a rank of 66, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 66% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 75, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 17, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 83% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), Gold Road Resources has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Gold Road Resources. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Gold Road Resources and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 46 |
|
40 |
|
60 |
|
66 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 26 |
|
27 |
|
27 |
|
17 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 69 |
|
42 |
|
55 |
|
75 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 49 |
|
20 |
|
40 |
|
58 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
87 |
|
26 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
4 |
|
75 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
10 |
|
74 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
24 |
|
36 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
4 |
|
49 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Gold Road Resources from December 19, 2024.
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