Fact based stock research
Harmony (JSE:HAR)
ZAE000015228
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Harmony stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Harmony (Gold Production, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Harmony are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on Harmony's financial characteristics. As the company Harmony's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Harmony. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Gold Production |
| Index | Copper, Energy Efficient, Human Rights, Gold, Silver, Uranium, Water Efficiency, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Gold Winner CEO, Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Harmony
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 74 |
|
69 |
|
60 |
|
61 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 11 |
|
15 |
|
97 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 77 |
|
71 |
|
59 |
|
67 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
28 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
15 |
|
74 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Harmony (Gold Production, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Harmony are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on Harmony's financial characteristics. As the company Harmony's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Harmony. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 74 |
|
69 |
|
60 |
|
61 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 11 |
|
15 |
|
97 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 77 |
|
71 |
|
59 |
|
67 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 88 |
|
51 |
|
88 |
|
89 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Harmony shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Harmony. Price-to-Sales is 52 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Harmony's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 84% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 53. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Harmony are expected to be higher than for 53% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 53). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Harmony's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Harmony based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 79 |
|
79 |
|
63 |
|
52 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 87 |
|
72 |
|
78 |
|
84 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 74 |
|
90 |
|
60 |
|
53 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 52 |
|
20 |
|
49 |
|
53 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 74 |
|
69 |
|
60 |
|
61 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Harmony shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Harmony. Profit Growth has a rank of 64, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 64% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 89 (above 89% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 44, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 56% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 46. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Harmony. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 24 |
|
48 |
|
45 |
|
44 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 6 |
|
6 |
|
93 |
|
64 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
50 |
|
60 |
|
46 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 12 |
|
19 |
|
97 |
|
89 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 11 |
|
15 |
|
97 |
|
75 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), the company Harmony has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Harmony is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Harmony. Leverage is at a rank of 80, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 80% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 79, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 79% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 27, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 73% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Harmony has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Harmony. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Harmony and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 30 |
|
70 |
|
62 |
|
80 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 60 |
|
43 |
|
19 |
|
27 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 68 |
|
76 |
|
96 |
|
79 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 77 |
|
71 |
|
59 |
|
67 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
9 |
|
7 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
12 |
|
17 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
46 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
12 |
|
93 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
28 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Harmony from December 19, 2024.
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