Fact based stock research
Hikari Tsushin (TSE:9435)

JP3783420007

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Hikari Tsushin stock research in summary

hikari.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with investment alternatives), Hikari Tsushin (Electronics Retail, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Hikari Tsushin are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 45 (worse than 55% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 47, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation based on Hikari Tsushin's financial characteristics. As the company Hikari Tsushin shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 45 (55% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 55% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 55). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 47 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Hikari Tsushin, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	45
Growth Rank	55
Safety Rank	47
Combined Rank	53

Country	Japan
Industry	Electronics Retail
Index
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Hikari Tsushin

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	66	59	51	45
GROWTH
GROWTH	1	39	35	55
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	48	51	47
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	68	75	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	67	57	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Hikari Tsushin is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	66	59	51	45
GROWTH
GROWTH	1	39	35	55
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	48	51	47
COMBINED
COMBINED	26	46	41	53

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Hikari Tsushin the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with alternatives), Hikari Tsushin shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Hikari Tsushin. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 66 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 66% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Hikari Tsushin's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 64, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 64% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 82% of alternatives (only 18% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 67% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on Hikari Tsushin's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	31	44	25	18
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	70	82	75	66
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	58	62	61	64
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	66	58	48	33
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	66	59	51	45

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Hikari Tsushin; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Hikari Tsushin shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Hikari Tsushin. Sales Growth has a rank of 57 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 57% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 91. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 46, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 54% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 15, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 91% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	17	33	4	57
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	90	59	34	15
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	50	41	46
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	20	27	87	91
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	1	39	35	55

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Hikari Tsushin.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), the company Hikari Tsushin has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Hikari Tsushin is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Hikari Tsushin and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 72, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 72% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 27, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 73% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 46, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), Hikari Tsushin has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Hikari Tsushin are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Hikari Tsushin and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	39	28	27	27
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	47	80	86	72
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	53	37	39	46
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	33	48	51	47

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Hikari Tsushin and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	54	60	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	83	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	32	91	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	49	45	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	68	75	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Hikari Tsushin.
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