Fact based stock research
JDW (LSE:JDW)

GB0001638955

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

JDW stock research in summary

jdwetherspoon.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with investment alternatives), JDW (Restaurants, United Kingdom) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of JDW are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 72 (better than 72% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 24), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 23), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation based on JDW's financial characteristics. As the company JDW's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 72) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 24) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 23), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 72% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	72
Growth Rank	24
Safety Rank	23
Combined Rank	15

Country	United Kingdom
Industry	Restaurants
Index	FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, Energy Efficient, Human Rights, Sound Pay Europe
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: JDW

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	9	66	40	72
GROWTH
GROWTH	2	15	41	24
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	8	27	23
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	13	62	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	4	30	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 28-Jul-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better JDW is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	9	66	40	72
GROWTH
GROWTH	2	15	41	24
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	8	27	23
COMBINED
COMBINED	1	8	15	15

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of JDW the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with alternatives), JDW shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for JDW. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 83, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 83% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding JDW's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 67% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 61. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 39% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than JDW (a Dividend Yield Rank of 39). 61% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 72, is a buy recommendation based on JDW's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	47	82	79	83
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	2	57	53	67
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	42	45	52	61
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	41	1	39
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	9	66	40	72

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of JDW; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 24 (better than 24% compared with alternatives), JDW shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for JDW. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 76, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 19% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 38 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 62% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 19 and Stock Returns with a rank of 22 are also low (below 78% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 24, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for JDW is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	2	25	22	38
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	29	78	65	19
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	26	9	76
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	38	23	95	22
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	2	15	41	24

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of JDW.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), the company JDW has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of JDW is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for JDW. Liquidity is at 34, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 66% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 22, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 78% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 16 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 84% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 23 (worse than 77% compared with alternatives), JDW has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of JDW because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	6	23	21	22
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	4	15	28	16
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	5	18	34	34
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	1	8	27	23

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of JDW and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	46	17	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	63	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	26	79	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	14	60	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	13	62	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for JDW.
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