Fact based stock research
KPN (ENXTAM:KPN)
NL0000009082
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
KPN stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with investment alternatives), KPN (Integrated Telecommunication, Netherlands) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of KPN are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 41, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 60). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 26, is a hold recommendation based on KPN's financial characteristics. As the company KPN shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (85% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 60% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 60). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 41 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for KPN, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Netherlands |
| Industry | Integrated Telecommunication |
| Index | AEX, Artificial Intelligence, Employee Focus EU, Renewables Users, Recycling, Telecommunications |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: KPN
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 67 |
|
19 |
|
12 |
|
15 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 33 |
|
35 |
|
59 |
|
60 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 10 |
|
10 |
|
34 |
|
41 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
30 |
|
72 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
5 |
|
37 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with investment alternatives), KPN (Integrated Telecommunication, Netherlands) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of KPN are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 41, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 60). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 26, is a hold recommendation based on KPN's financial characteristics. As the company KPN shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (85% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 60% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 60). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 41 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for KPN, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 67 |
|
19 |
|
12 |
|
15 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 33 |
|
35 |
|
59 |
|
60 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 10 |
|
10 |
|
34 |
|
41 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 26 |
|
6 |
|
20 |
|
26 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), KPN shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for KPN. Price-to-Sales is 15 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 85% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning KPN's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 13, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of KPN. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 36 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 58% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation based on KPN's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for KPN? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as KPN? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. KPN may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 37 |
|
21 |
|
9 |
|
15 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 89 |
|
34 |
|
31 |
|
36 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 24 |
|
16 |
|
14 |
|
13 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 71 |
|
47 |
|
52 |
|
42 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 67 |
|
19 |
|
12 |
|
15 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), KPN shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for KPN. Capital Growth has a rank of 56, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 41% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 71 (above 71% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 47, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 53% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 41. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 60, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for KPN, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 14 |
|
4 |
|
46 |
|
47 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 24 |
|
46 |
|
64 |
|
41 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
77 |
|
40 |
|
56 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 55 |
|
51 |
|
63 |
|
71 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 33 |
|
35 |
|
59 |
|
60 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), the company KPN has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of KPN is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for KPN. Liquidity is at 55, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 55% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 41, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 20, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 80% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), KPN has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 28 |
|
16 |
|
18 |
|
20 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 13 |
|
37 |
|
51 |
|
41 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 36 |
|
38 |
|
45 |
|
55 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 10 |
|
10 |
|
34 |
|
41 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
63 |
|
52 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
19 |
|
82 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
36 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
30 |
|
72 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for KPN from December 19, 2024.
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