Fact based stock research
Lion (TSE:4912)
JP3965400009
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Lion stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Lion (Household Products, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Lion are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 47, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on Lion's financial characteristics. As the company Lion shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (91% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 99% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 99). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 47 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Lion, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Japan |
Industry | Household Products |
Index | |
Size class | Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Lion
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 81 |
|
33 |
|
43 |
|
9 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 13 |
|
13 |
|
19 |
|
99 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 81 |
|
68 |
|
60 |
|
47 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
14 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
29 |
|
16 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Lion (Household Products, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Lion are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 47, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on Lion's financial characteristics. As the company Lion shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (91% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 99% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 99). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 47 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Lion, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 81 |
|
33 |
|
43 |
|
9 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 13 |
|
13 |
|
19 |
|
99 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 81 |
|
68 |
|
60 |
|
47 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 65 |
|
24 |
|
32 |
|
45 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% compared with alternatives), Lion shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Lion. Price-to-Sales is 36 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 64% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Lion's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 27, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Lion. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 25 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 84% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation based on Lion's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Lion? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Lion? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Lion may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 77 |
|
49 |
|
62 |
|
36 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 59 |
|
32 |
|
43 |
|
25 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 70 |
|
49 |
|
49 |
|
27 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 62 |
|
25 |
|
31 |
|
16 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 81 |
|
33 |
|
43 |
|
9 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Lion shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Lion. Profit Growth has a rank of 72 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 72% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 91, and Stock Returns has a rank of 99 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 99% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 34 (66% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 30 |
|
37 |
|
44 |
|
34 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 64 |
|
6 |
|
31 |
|
72 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
74 |
|
44 |
|
91 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 16 |
|
5 |
|
17 |
|
99 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 13 |
|
13 |
|
19 |
|
99 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), the company Lion has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Lion is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Lion. Leverage is at a rank of 74, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 74% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 61, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 35, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 65% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), Lion has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Lion. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Lion and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 82 |
|
80 |
|
68 |
|
74 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 24 |
|
37 |
|
41 |
|
35 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 100 |
|
84 |
|
80 |
|
61 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 81 |
|
68 |
|
60 |
|
47 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
31 |
|
58 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
17 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
70 |
|
7 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
72 |
|
26 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
14 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Lion from December 19, 2024.
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