Fact based stock research
Merdeka Copper Gold (IDX:MDKA)

ID1000134406

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Merdeka Copper Gold stock research in summary

merdekacoppergold.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Merdeka Copper Gold (Diversified Metals & Mining, Indonesia) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Merdeka Copper Gold are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 5 (worse than 95% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 10, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 87). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation based on Merdeka Copper Gold's financial characteristics. As the company Merdeka Copper Gold shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 5 (95% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 87% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 87). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 10 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Merdeka Copper Gold, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	5
Growth Rank	87
Safety Rank	10
Combined Rank	14

Country	Indonesia
Industry	Diversified Metals & Mining
Index	Copper, Silver
Size class	Medium

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Merdeka Copper Gold

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	10	1	4	5
GROWTH
GROWTH	50	79	59	87
SAFETY
SAFETY	61	19	13	10
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	60	59	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	17	10	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Merdeka Copper Gold is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	10	1	4	5
GROWTH
GROWTH	50	79	59	87
SAFETY
SAFETY	61	19	13	10
COMBINED
COMBINED	12	9	1	14

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Merdeka Copper Gold the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 5 (worse than 95% compared with alternatives), Merdeka Copper Gold shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Merdeka Copper Gold. Price-to-Sales is 49 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 51% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Merdeka Copper Gold's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 25, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Merdeka Copper Gold. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 1 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation based on Merdeka Copper Gold's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Merdeka Copper Gold? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Merdeka Copper Gold? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Merdeka Copper Gold may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	12	1	46	49
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	28	1	5	1
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	8	1	11	25
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	10	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	10	1	4	5

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Merdeka Copper Gold; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Merdeka Copper Gold shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Merdeka Copper Gold. Sales Growth has a value of 89 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 89% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 81 and Capital Growth with a rank of 93 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 29, which means that stock returns have recently been below 71% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Merdeka Copper Gold has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Merdeka Copper Gold, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	48	96	92	89
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	66	6	81
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	1	100	93
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	80	73	7	29
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	50	79	59	87

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Merdeka Copper Gold.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 10 (better than 10% compared with alternatives), the company Merdeka Copper Gold has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Merdeka Copper Gold is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Merdeka Copper Gold. Liquidity is at 10, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 90% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 28, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 33 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), Merdeka Copper Gold has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Merdeka Copper Gold because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	34	36	22	28
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	70	19	49	33
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	37	36	6	10
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	61	19	13	10

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Merdeka Copper Gold and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	51	89	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	4	31	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	48	1	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	90	91	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	60	59	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Merdeka Copper Gold.
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