Fact based stock research
Mondi PLC (LSE:MNDI)

GB00B1CRLC47

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Mondi PLC stock research in summary

mondigroup.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Mondi PLC (Paper Products, United Kingdom) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mondi PLC are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 56 (better than 56% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 66, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 24). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Mondi PLC's financial characteristics. As the company Mondi PLC's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 56) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 24) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 66), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 56% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	56
Growth Rank	24
Safety Rank	66
Combined Rank	54

Country	United Kingdom
Industry	Paper Products
Index	FTSE All Shares, FTSE 100, FTSE 350, Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Diversity Europe, Human Rights, Renewables Users
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Mondi PLC

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	54	45	13	56
GROWTH
GROWTH	48	67	53	24
SAFETY
SAFETY	48	51	57	66
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	84	94	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	81	66	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Mondi PLC is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	54	45	13	56
GROWTH
GROWTH	48	67	53	24
SAFETY
SAFETY	48	51	57	66
COMBINED
COMBINED	23	63	27	54

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Mondi PLC the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 56 (better than 56% compared with alternatives), Mondi PLC shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Mondi PLC. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 52 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Mondi PLC's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 45, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 45% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 55% of alternatives (only 45% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 30% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 56, is a buy recommendation based on Mondi PLC's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	43	36	33	45
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	41	55	29	52
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	39	34	31	45
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	68	67	42	70
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	54	45	13	56

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Mondi PLC; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 24 (better than 24% compared with alternatives), Mondi PLC shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Mondi PLC. While Sales Growth ranks at 89, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 89% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 18, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 82% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 16. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 30 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 70% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 24, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	47	62	33	89
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	52	21	31	18
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	89	59	16
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	44	33	73	30
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	48	67	53	24

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Mondi PLC.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), the company Mondi PLC has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Mondi PLC is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Mondi PLC. Leverage is at 61, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 61% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 56, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 56% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 57, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 57% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), Mondi PLC has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Mondi PLC but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	45	56	64	61
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	55	27	59	56
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	40	55	32	57
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	48	51	57	66

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Mondi PLC and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	46	50	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	42	75	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	96	94	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	58	83	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	84	94	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Mondi PLC.
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