Fact based stock research
MTN (JSE:MTN)

ZAE000042164

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

MTN stock research in summary

mtn.co.za

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with investment alternatives), MTN (Wireless Telecommunication, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of MTN are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 39), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on MTN's financial characteristics. As the company MTN's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 83) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 39), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 83% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	83
Growth Rank	45
Safety Rank	39
Combined Rank	67

Country	South Africa
Industry	Wireless Telecommunication
Index	Artificial Intelligence, Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Independent Boards Growth Markets, Telecommunications, JSE All Shares
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: MTN

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	15	73	74	83
GROWTH
GROWTH	36	85	17	45
SAFETY
SAFETY	47	64	59	39
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	64	42	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	91	48	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better MTN is in the corresponding investment strategy.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.

Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	15	73	74	83
GROWTH
GROWTH	36	85	17	45
SAFETY
SAFETY	47	64	59	39
COMBINED
COMBINED	53	92	50	67

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of MTN the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, MTN shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for MTN. Price-to-Sales is 85 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 85% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for MTN's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 72% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 73. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of MTN are expected to be higher than for 65% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 65). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation based on MTN's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in MTN based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	52	64	78	85
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	22	71	78	72
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	36	55	68	73
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	47	53	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	15	73	74	83

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of MTN; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), MTN shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for MTN. Sales Growth has a rank of 73, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 73% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 78 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 43, and Stock Returns with 19 are also below-average. Stock returns for MTN have recently been below 81% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for MTN. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	8	49	43	73
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	15	68	20	78
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	45	25	43
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	98	97	29	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	36	85	17	45

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of MTN.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), the company MTN has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of MTN is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for MTN and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 50 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 19, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 46, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with alternatives), MTN has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of MTN are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with MTN and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	43	42	50	50
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	40	61	51	19
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	82	51	58	46
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	47	64	59	39

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of MTN and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	40	31	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	67	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	72	32	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	46	59	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	64	42	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for MTN.
Upgrade to a Premium Account to access the latest ranks.