Fact based stock research
MTN (JSE:MTN)
ZAE000042164
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
MTN stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), MTN (Wireless Telecommunication, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of MTN are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 39), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on MTN's financial characteristics. As the company MTN's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 39) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Wireless Telecommunication |
| Index | Artificial Intelligence, Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Independent Boards Growth Markets, Telecommunications, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: MTN
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 15 |
|
73 |
|
74 |
|
87 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 36 |
|
85 |
|
17 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 47 |
|
64 |
|
59 |
|
39 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
64 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
91 |
|
48 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), MTN (Wireless Telecommunication, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of MTN are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 39), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on MTN's financial characteristics. As the company MTN's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 87) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 39) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 15 |
|
73 |
|
74 |
|
87 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 36 |
|
85 |
|
17 |
|
75 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 47 |
|
64 |
|
59 |
|
39 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 53 |
|
92 |
|
50 |
|
92 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 87 (better than 87% compared with alternatives) for 2024, MTN shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for MTN. Price-to-Sales is 87 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 87% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for MTN's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 78% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 83. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of MTN are expected to be higher than for 67% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 67). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 87, is a buy recommendation based on MTN's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in MTN based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 52 |
|
64 |
|
78 |
|
87 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 22 |
|
71 |
|
78 |
|
78 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 36 |
|
55 |
|
68 |
|
83 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
47 |
|
53 |
|
67 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 15 |
|
73 |
|
74 |
|
87 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, MTN shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for MTN. Sales Growth has a value of 73 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 73% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 79 and Capital Growth with a rank of 78 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 25, which means that stock returns have recently been below 75% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. MTN has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for MTN, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 8 |
|
49 |
|
43 |
|
73 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 15 |
|
68 |
|
20 |
|
79 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
45 |
|
25 |
|
78 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 98 |
|
97 |
|
29 |
|
25 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 36 |
|
85 |
|
17 |
|
75 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), the company MTN has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of MTN is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for MTN. Liquidity is at 46, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 48, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 52% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 21 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with alternatives), MTN has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of MTN because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 43 |
|
42 |
|
50 |
|
48 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 40 |
|
61 |
|
51 |
|
21 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 82 |
|
51 |
|
58 |
|
46 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 47 |
|
64 |
|
59 |
|
39 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
40 |
|
31 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
67 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
72 |
|
32 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
46 |
|
59 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
64 |
|
42 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for MTN from November 14, 2024.
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