Fact based stock research
Naspers (JSE:NPN)
ZAE000015889
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Naspers stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Naspers (Internet Retail, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Naspers are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 20 (worse than 80% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 97) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 70, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 82, is a strong buy recommendation based on Naspers's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Naspers exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 20), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 97). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 70) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Internet Retail |
| Index | JSE All Shares |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Naspers
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 35 |
|
37 |
|
30 |
|
20 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
|
51 |
|
97 |
|
97 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 31 |
|
68 |
|
80 |
|
70 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
25 |
|
90 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
41 |
|
92 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with investment alternatives), Naspers (Internet Retail, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Naspers are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 20 (worse than 80% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 97) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 70, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 82, is a strong buy recommendation based on Naspers's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Naspers exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 20), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 97). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 70) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 35 |
|
37 |
|
30 |
|
20 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
|
51 |
|
97 |
|
97 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 31 |
|
68 |
|
80 |
|
70 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 19 |
|
50 |
|
86 |
|
82 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 20 (worse than 80% compared with alternatives), Naspers shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Naspers. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 74, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 74% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Naspers's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 9 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 91% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Naspers's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 49 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 85% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 20, is a sell recommendation based on Naspers's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Naspers is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 9 |
|
5 |
|
12 |
|
9 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 85 |
|
61 |
|
67 |
|
74 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 34 |
|
72 |
|
58 |
|
49 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 47 |
|
20 |
|
24 |
|
15 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 35 |
|
37 |
|
30 |
|
20 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Naspers shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Naspers. Sales Growth has a value of 88, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 88% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 94 and for Capital Growth with 84. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 71, which means they have been higher than 71% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 97, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Naspers exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 92 |
|
90 |
|
89 |
|
88 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 25 |
|
10 |
|
98 |
|
94 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
82 |
|
78 |
|
84 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 35 |
|
15 |
|
63 |
|
71 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 29 |
|
51 |
|
97 |
|
97 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), the company Naspers has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Naspers is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Naspers.Leverage is at 83, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 83% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 89, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 89% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 8, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), Naspers has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Naspers more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 66 |
|
96 |
|
90 |
|
83 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 36 |
|
77 |
|
97 |
|
89 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 1 |
|
1 |
|
12 |
|
8 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 31 |
|
68 |
|
80 |
|
70 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
93 |
|
91 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
37 |
|
95 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
3 |
|
30 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
29 |
|
73 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
25 |
|
90 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Naspers from November 14, 2024.
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