Fact based stock research
New Hope (ASX:NHC)
AU000000NHC7
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
New Hope stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with investment alternatives), New Hope (Coal & Consumable Fuels, Australia) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of New Hope are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on New Hope's financial characteristics. As the company New Hope's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 69% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Australia |
| Industry | Coal & Consumable Fuels |
| Index | ASX 300 |
| Size class | Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: New Hope
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 42 |
|
92 |
|
56 |
|
69 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 32 |
|
75 |
|
65 |
|
11 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 69 |
|
60 |
|
81 |
|
82 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
37 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
86 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with investment alternatives), New Hope (Coal & Consumable Fuels, Australia) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of New Hope are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 11). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on New Hope's financial characteristics. As the company New Hope's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 11) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 69% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 42 |
|
92 |
|
56 |
|
69 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 32 |
|
75 |
|
65 |
|
11 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 69 |
|
60 |
|
81 |
|
82 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 43 |
|
98 |
|
77 |
|
58 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), New Hope shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for New Hope. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 75 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 75% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning New Hope's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 36, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 36% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 69% of alternatives (only 31% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 2% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on New Hope's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 58 |
|
56 |
|
27 |
|
31 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 50 |
|
95 |
|
74 |
|
75 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 72 |
|
82 |
|
33 |
|
36 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
100 |
|
96 |
|
98 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 42 |
|
92 |
|
56 |
|
69 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), New Hope shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for New Hope. Sales Growth has a rank of 21, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 79% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 39, and Capital Growth with 26. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 29, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 71% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 31 |
|
1 |
|
66 |
|
21 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
78 |
|
20 |
|
39 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
86 |
|
88 |
|
26 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 64 |
|
87 |
|
33 |
|
29 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 32 |
|
75 |
|
65 |
|
11 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company New Hope has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of New Hope is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for New Hope. Leverage is at 66, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 66% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 51, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 91, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 91% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives), New Hope has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with New Hope but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 44 |
|
41 |
|
78 |
|
66 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 70 |
|
73 |
|
49 |
|
51 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 60 |
|
42 |
|
87 |
|
91 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 69 |
|
60 |
|
81 |
|
82 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
61 |
|
3 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
6 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
14 |
|
49 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
56 |
|
59 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
37 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for New Hope from November 14, 2024.
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