Fact based stock research
Nippon Paint Holdings (TSE:4612)

JP3749400002

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Nippon Paint Holdings stock research in summary

nipponpaint-holdings.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with investment alternatives), Nippon Paint Holdings (Specialty Chemicals, Japan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Nippon Paint Holdings are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 17, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 71). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Nippon Paint Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company Nippon Paint Holdings shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (91% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 71% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 71). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 17 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Nippon Paint Holdings, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	9
Growth Rank	71
Safety Rank	17
Combined Rank	17

Country	Japan
Industry	Specialty Chemicals
Index
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Research History: Nippon Paint Holdings

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	28	9	15	9
GROWTH
GROWTH	1	71	45	71
SAFETY
SAFETY	23	6	10	17
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	24	76	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	5	18	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Nippon Paint Holdings is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	28	9	15	9
GROWTH
GROWTH	1	71	45	71
SAFETY
SAFETY	23	6	10	17
COMBINED
COMBINED	1	8	4	17

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Nippon Paint Holdings the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 9 (worse than 91% compared with alternatives), Nippon Paint Holdings shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Nippon Paint Holdings. Price-to-Sales is 29 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 71% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Nippon Paint Holdings's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 22, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Nippon Paint Holdings. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 16 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 88% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation based on Nippon Paint Holdings's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Nippon Paint Holdings? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Nippon Paint Holdings? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Nippon Paint Holdings may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	26	27	30	29
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	33	7	28	16
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	40	16	23	22
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	48	10	10	12
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	28	9	15	9

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Nippon Paint Holdings; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with alternatives), Nippon Paint Holdings shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Nippon Paint Holdings. Sales Growth has a rank of 83 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 83% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 45% of competitors with a rank of 69. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 45, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 55% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 47. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	24	72	50	83
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	100	50	75	45
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	91	55	69
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	4	1	31	47
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	1	71	45	71

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Nippon Paint Holdings.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), the company Nippon Paint Holdings has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Nippon Paint Holdings is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Nippon Paint Holdings. Liquidity is at 49, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 51% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 28, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 72% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 19 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with alternatives), Nippon Paint Holdings has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Nippon Paint Holdings because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	30	16	22	28
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	48	17	25	19
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	20	26	40	49
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	23	6	10	17

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Nippon Paint Holdings and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	1	44	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	75	89	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	50	88	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	34	34	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	24	76	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Nippon Paint Holdings.
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