Fact based stock research
SCG Packaging (SET:SCGP)

TH0098010Y05

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

SCG Packaging stock research in summary

scgpackaging.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with investment alternatives), SCG Packaging (Paper Packaging, Thailand) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of SCG Packaging are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 9), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 29), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on SCG Packaging's financial characteristics. As the company SCG Packaging's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 67) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 9) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 29), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 67% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	67
Growth Rank	9
Safety Rank	29
Combined Rank	17

Country	Thailand
Industry	Paper Packaging
Index	SET, Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Good Governace Growth Markets, Water Efficiency
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: SCG Packaging

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	41	47	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	63	39	9
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	63	27	29
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	17	36	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	39	26	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better SCG Packaging is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	41	47	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	63	39	9
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	63	27	29
COMBINED
COMBINED	n/a	71	21	17

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of SCG Packaging the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), SCG Packaging shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for SCG Packaging. Price-to-Sales is 73 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 73% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for SCG Packaging's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 54% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 75. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of SCG Packaging are expected to be higher than for 65% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 65). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on SCG Packaging's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in SCG Packaging based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	n/a	51	64	73
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	n/a	36	42	54
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	n/a	54	61	75
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	n/a	43	50	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	n/a	41	47	67

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of SCG Packaging; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), SCG Packaging shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for SCG Packaging. Sales Growth has a rank of 30, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 36, and Capital Growth with 9. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 7, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 93% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	n/a	29	40	30
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	50	50	36
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	90	90	9
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	n/a	63	5	7
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	n/a	63	39	9

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of SCG Packaging.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), the company SCG Packaging has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of SCG Packaging is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for SCG Packaging. Leverage is at a rank of 50, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 52, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 52% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 3, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 97% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with alternatives), SCG Packaging has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for SCG Packaging. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with SCG Packaging and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	n/a	52	50	50
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	n/a	47	7	3
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	n/a	50	51	52
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	n/a	63	27	29

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of SCG Packaging and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	1	56	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	12	43	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	72	51	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	80	25	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	17	36	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for SCG Packaging.
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