Fact based stock research
Takeda Pharmaceutical (TSE:4502)
JP3463000004
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Takeda Pharmaceutical stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Takeda Pharmaceutical (Pharmaceuticals, Japan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Takeda Pharmaceutical are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 82 (better than 82% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 12), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 8), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 6, is a sell recommendation based on Takeda Pharmaceutical's financial characteristics. As the company Takeda Pharmaceutical's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 82) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 12) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 8), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 82% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Pharmaceuticals |
| Index | TOPIX 100, Nikkei 225 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Takeda Pharmaceutical
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
95 |
|
74 |
|
82 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 69 |
|
11 |
|
3 |
|
12 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 5 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
7 |
|
6 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Takeda Pharmaceutical (Pharmaceuticals, Japan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Takeda Pharmaceutical are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 82 (better than 82% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 12), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 8), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 6, is a sell recommendation based on Takeda Pharmaceutical's financial characteristics. As the company Takeda Pharmaceutical's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 82) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 12) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 8), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 82% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 100 |
|
95 |
|
74 |
|
82 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 69 |
|
11 |
|
3 |
|
12 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 5 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 65 |
|
26 |
|
6 |
|
6 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Takeda Pharmaceutical shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Takeda Pharmaceutical. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 70 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 70% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Takeda Pharmaceutical's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 88. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Takeda Pharmaceutical are expected to be higher than for 94% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 94). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 25, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 82, is a buy recommendation based on Takeda Pharmaceutical's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 79 |
|
76 |
|
64 |
|
70 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 100 |
|
71 |
|
30 |
|
25 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 85 |
|
87 |
|
73 |
|
88 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 98 |
|
96 |
|
98 |
|
94 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 100 |
|
95 |
|
74 |
|
82 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 12 (better than 12% compared with alternatives), Takeda Pharmaceutical shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Takeda Pharmaceutical. Sales Growth has a rank of 20, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 80% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 20, and Capital Growth with 29. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 42, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 58% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 12, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 33 |
|
11 |
|
15 |
|
20 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 73 |
|
14 |
|
6 |
|
20 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
37 |
|
21 |
|
29 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 56 |
|
65 |
|
49 |
|
42 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 69 |
|
11 |
|
3 |
|
12 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 8 (better than 8% compared with alternatives), the company Takeda Pharmaceutical has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Takeda Pharmaceutical is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Takeda Pharmaceutical. Liquidity is at 18, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 13, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 87% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 28 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 72% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 8 (worse than 92% compared with alternatives), Takeda Pharmaceutical has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Takeda Pharmaceutical because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 6 |
|
4 |
|
7 |
|
13 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 21 |
|
25 |
|
11 |
|
28 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 30 |
|
18 |
|
22 |
|
18 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 5 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
37 |
|
33 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
24 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
32 |
|
14 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
19 |
|
20 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Takeda Pharmaceutical from November 14, 2024.
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