Fact based stock research
Tiger Brands (JSE:TBS)
ZAE000071080
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Tiger Brands stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Tiger Brands (Packaged Foods & Meats, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Tiger Brands are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 81) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 88, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on Tiger Brands's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Tiger Brands exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 49), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 81). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 88) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | South Africa |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Human Rights, JSE All Shares |
| Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Tiger Brands
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 87 |
|
71 |
|
72 |
|
49 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 33 |
|
39 |
|
21 |
|
81 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
|
97 |
|
91 |
|
88 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
35 |
|
56 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
77 |
|
82 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Tiger Brands (Packaged Foods & Meats, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Tiger Brands are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 81) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 88, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 94, is a strong buy recommendation based on Tiger Brands's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Tiger Brands exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 49), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 81). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 88) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 87 |
|
71 |
|
72 |
|
49 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 33 |
|
39 |
|
21 |
|
81 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
|
97 |
|
91 |
|
88 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 89 |
|
85 |
|
86 |
|
94 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Tiger Brands shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Tiger Brands. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 50, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 50% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Tiger Brands's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 60, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 60% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 56% of alternatives (only 44% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 51% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Tiger Brands's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 69 |
|
66 |
|
65 |
|
50 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 73 |
|
72 |
|
75 |
|
49 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 64 |
|
73 |
|
48 |
|
44 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 70 |
|
65 |
|
80 |
|
60 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 87 |
|
71 |
|
72 |
|
49 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Tiger Brands shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Tiger Brands. Profit Growth has a rank of 61, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 61% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 89 (above 89% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 49, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 51% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 42. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Tiger Brands. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 33 |
|
39 |
|
48 |
|
49 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 40 |
|
63 |
|
50 |
|
61 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
52 |
|
13 |
|
42 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 44 |
|
25 |
|
45 |
|
89 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 33 |
|
39 |
|
21 |
|
81 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Tiger Brands has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Tiger Brands is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Tiger Brands. Leverage is at 86, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 86% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 51, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 70, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 70% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 88 (better than 88% compared with alternatives), Tiger Brands has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Tiger Brands but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 78 |
|
94 |
|
82 |
|
86 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 60 |
|
55 |
|
59 |
|
51 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 94 |
|
98 |
|
65 |
|
70 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 100 |
|
97 |
|
91 |
|
88 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
10 |
|
27 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
72 |
|
87 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
51 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
37 |
|
39 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
35 |
|
56 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Tiger Brands from December 19, 2024.
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