Fact based stock research
Toho Holdings (TSE:8129)

JP3602600003

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Toho Holdings stock research in summary

tohohd.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Toho Holdings (Health Care Distributors, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Toho Holdings are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 75, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation based on Toho Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company Toho Holdings's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 75), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 61% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	61
Growth Rank	5
Safety Rank	75
Combined Rank	29

Country	Japan
Industry	Health Care Distributors
Index
Size class	X-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Toho Holdings

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	94	79	65	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	13	11	45	5
SAFETY
SAFETY	97	79	81	75
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	28	24	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	51	61	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Toho Holdings is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	94	79	65	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	13	11	45	5
SAFETY
SAFETY	97	79	81	75
COMBINED
COMBINED	90	70	83	29

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Toho Holdings the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Toho Holdings shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Toho Holdings. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 91, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 91% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Toho Holdings's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 71% of alternatives (29% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 30 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 70% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 45, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Toho Holdings's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Toho Holdings may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	97	100	95	91
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	71	67	54	45
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	100	100	81	71
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	60	28	30	30
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	94	79	65	61

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Toho Holdings; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 5 (better than 5% compared with alternatives), Toho Holdings shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Toho Holdings. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 19, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 81% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 7, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 8. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 92% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 73, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 73% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Toho Holdings, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	19	15	8	19
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	33	53	42	8
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	9	41	7
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	18	45	91	73
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	13	11	45	5

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Toho Holdings.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Toho Holdings has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Toho Holdings is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Toho Holdings. Leverage is at 59, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 59% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 74, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 74% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 82, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives), Toho Holdings has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Toho Holdings but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	98	58	60	59
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	72	96	92	74
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	65	80	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	97	79	81	75

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Toho Holdings and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	17	15	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	17	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	38	17	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	67	77	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	28	24	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Toho Holdings.
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