Fact based stock research
Toyota Tsusho (TSE:8015)

JP3635000007

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Toyota Tsusho stock research in summary

toyota-tsusho.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Toyota Tsusho (Trading & Distribution, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Toyota Tsusho are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 57, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Toyota Tsusho's financial characteristics. As the company Toyota Tsusho's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 57), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 61% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	61
Growth Rank	39
Safety Rank	57
Combined Rank	49

Country	Japan
Industry	Trading & Distribution
Index	Nikkei 225
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Toyota Tsusho

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	94	57	41	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	77	33	81	39
SAFETY
SAFETY	34	49	41	57
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	86	95	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	57	91	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Toyota Tsusho is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	94	57	41	61
GROWTH
GROWTH	77	33	81	39
SAFETY
SAFETY	34	49	41	57
COMBINED
COMBINED	85	33	59	49

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Toyota Tsusho the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Toyota Tsusho shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Toyota Tsusho. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 84, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 84% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Toyota Tsusho's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 89% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 66 (dividends are expected to be higher than 66% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 55% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Toyota Tsusho to 45. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Toyota Tsusho's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	77	86	78	84
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	91	71	82	89
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	72	46	28	45
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	76	67	54	66
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	94	57	41	61

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Toyota Tsusho; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), Toyota Tsusho shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Toyota Tsusho. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 85, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 32% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 35 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 65% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 32 and Stock Returns with a rank of 27 are also low (below 73% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Toyota Tsusho is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	51	13	18	35
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	40	40	59	32
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	53	61	85
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	82	77	100	27
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	77	33	81	39

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Toyota Tsusho.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), the company Toyota Tsusho has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Toyota Tsusho is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Toyota Tsusho and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 81, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 24, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 76% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 48, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 52% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Toyota Tsusho has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Toyota Tsusho are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Toyota Tsusho and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	14	16	14	24
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	82	77	69	81
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	37	47	40	48
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	34	49	41	57

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Toyota Tsusho and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	69	59	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	93	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	78	97	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	53	44	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	86	95	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Toyota Tsusho.
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