Fact based stock research
Ube (TSE:4208)

JP3158800007

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Ube stock research in summary

ube.co.jp

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Ube (Diversified Chemicals, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ube are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 49), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on Ube's financial characteristics. As the company Ube's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 99) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 49), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 99% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	99
Growth Rank	29
Safety Rank	49
Combined Rank	65

Country	Japan
Industry	Diversified Chemicals
Index	Low Emissions, Nikkei 225
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Ube

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	97	100	99
GROWTH
GROWTH	14	5	99	29
SAFETY
SAFETY	49	52	52	49
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	4	8	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	19	84	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Ube is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	100	97	100	99
GROWTH
GROWTH	14	5	99	29
SAFETY
SAFETY	49	52	52	49
COMBINED
COMBINED	53	50	98	65

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Ube the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Ube shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Ube. Price-to-Sales is 73 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 73% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Ube's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 91. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Ube are expected to be higher than for 94% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 94). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation based on Ube's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Ube based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	100	80	78	73
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	98	72	89	95
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	96	100	93	91
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	94	96	92	94
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	100	97	100	99

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Ube; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), Ube shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Ube. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 35, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 65% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 47, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 30. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 70% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 63, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 63% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for Ube, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	13	1	62	35
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	43	8	98	30
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	43	84	47
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	38	55	65	63
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	14	5	99	29

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Ube.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), the company Ube has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Ube is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Ube. Liquidity is at 71, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 71% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 43, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 57% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 42, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Ube has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	2	34	38	42
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	100	75	41	43
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	34	52	60	71
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	49	52	52	49

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Ube and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	13	40	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	32	17	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	37	19	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	3	7	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	4	8	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Ube.
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