Fact based stock research
Universal Robina (PSE:URC)

PHY9297P1004

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Universal Robina stock research in summary

www2.urc.com.ph

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Universal Robina (Packaged Foods & Meats, Philippines) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Universal Robina are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Universal Robina's financial characteristics. As the company Universal Robina's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 67) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 67% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	67
Growth Rank	15
Safety Rank	82
Combined Rank	63

Country	Philippines
Industry	Packaged Foods & Meats
Index	Energy Efficient, Water Efficiency
Size class	Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Universal Robina

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	63	35	50	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	34	11	17	15
SAFETY
SAFETY	97	92	85	82
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	83	50	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	63	52	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Universal Robina is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	63	35	50	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	34	11	17	15
SAFETY
SAFETY	97	92	85	82
COMBINED
COMBINED	76	49	52	63

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Universal Robina the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Universal Robina shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Universal Robina. Price-to-Sales is 60 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 60% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Universal Robina's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 61% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Universal Robina are expected to be higher than for 74% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 74). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on Universal Robina's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Universal Robina based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	50	41	48	60
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	64	35	49	61
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	44	41	47	74
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	68	39	66	74
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	63	35	50	67

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Universal Robina; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), Universal Robina shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Universal Robina. Only Capital Growth has a good rank of 69, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 22% of its competitors. The other three indicators are pointing South: Sales Growth has a rank of 31 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 69% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 22 and Stock Returns with a rank of 3 are also low (below 97% of alternative investments). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The good news from the invested capital side is surprising. A company with disappointing revenues, profits, and disappointed shareholders typically doesn't invest above average. Overall, the growth momentum for Universal Robina is thus negative. As it is intriguing to see that company executives are optimistic about their investment policy, it is worthwhile looking into the details of the capital investment projects. They may indicate future growth and profits and thus if accompanied by a good value, a sign of good timing to invest in the stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	18	10	53	31
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	73	32	22
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	18	41	69
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	42	9	27	3
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	34	11	17	15

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Universal Robina.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Universal Robina has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Universal Robina is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Universal Robina. Leverage is at 68, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 67, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 66, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 66% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives), Universal Robina has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Universal Robina but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	68	54	78	68
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	72	67	45	67
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	74	90	79	66
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	97	92	85	82

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Universal Robina and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	84	95	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	78	21	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	7	32	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	77	51	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	83	50	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Universal Robina.
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