Fact based stock research
Barloworld (JSE:BAW)
ZAE000026639
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Barloworld stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Barloworld (Trading & Distribution, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Barloworld are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 54, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 31). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on Barloworld's financial characteristics. As the company Barloworld's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 31) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 54), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 81% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | South Africa |
Industry | Trading & Distribution |
Index | Low Emissions, Good Governace Growth Markets, Independent Boards Growth Markets, JSE All Shares |
Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Barloworld
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 23 |
|
89 |
|
95 |
|
81 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 69 |
|
37 |
|
5 |
|
31 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 68 |
|
61 |
|
53 |
|
54 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
31 |
|
26 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
57 |
|
37 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Barloworld (Trading & Distribution, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Barloworld are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 54, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 31). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on Barloworld's financial characteristics. As the company Barloworld's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 31) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 54), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 81% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 23 |
|
89 |
|
95 |
|
81 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 69 |
|
37 |
|
5 |
|
31 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 68 |
|
61 |
|
53 |
|
54 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 21 |
|
90 |
|
49 |
|
64 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Barloworld shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Barloworld. Price-to-Sales is 76 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 76% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Barloworld's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 81% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Barloworld are expected to be higher than for 86% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 86). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation based on Barloworld's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Barloworld based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 60 |
|
81 |
|
80 |
|
76 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 2 |
|
85 |
|
89 |
|
81 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 54 |
|
78 |
|
79 |
|
74 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
84 |
|
94 |
|
86 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 23 |
|
89 |
|
95 |
|
81 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), Barloworld shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Barloworld. Capital Growth has a rank of 50, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 25% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 67 (above 67% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 9, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 91% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 25. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Barloworld, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 11 |
|
13 |
|
13 |
|
9 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 20 |
|
36 |
|
18 |
|
25 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
56 |
|
55 |
|
50 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 90 |
|
79 |
|
33 |
|
67 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 69 |
|
37 |
|
5 |
|
31 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), the company Barloworld has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Barloworld is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Barloworld and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 71, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 71% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 42, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 41, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), Barloworld has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Barloworld are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Barloworld and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 44 |
|
42 |
|
44 |
|
42 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 62 |
|
84 |
|
88 |
|
71 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 63 |
|
56 |
|
32 |
|
41 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 68 |
|
61 |
|
53 |
|
54 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
44 |
|
18 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
75 |
|
29 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
31 |
|
16 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
29 |
|
93 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
31 |
|
26 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Barloworld from December 19, 2024.
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