Fact based stock research
DRDGOLD (NYSE:DRD)
US26152H3012
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
DRDGOLD stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), DRDGOLD (Gold Production, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of DRDGOLD are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 32 (worse than 68% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 95, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on DRDGOLD's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company DRDGOLD exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 32), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 95) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | South Africa |
Industry | Gold Production |
Index | Gold, JSE All Shares |
Size class | Medium |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: DRDGOLD
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 82 |
|
47 |
|
46 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 3 |
|
45 |
|
59 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 96 |
|
99 |
|
97 |
|
n/a |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
18 |
|
80 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
57 |
|
92 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), DRDGOLD (Gold Production, South Africa) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of DRDGOLD are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 32 (worse than 68% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 95, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on DRDGOLD's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company DRDGOLD exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 32), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 95) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 82 |
|
47 |
|
46 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 3 |
|
45 |
|
59 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 96 |
|
99 |
|
97 |
|
n/a |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 90 |
|
83 |
|
80 |
|
n/a |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), DRDGOLD shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for DRDGOLD. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 72 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 72% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning DRDGOLD's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 50, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 54. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 99% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 1). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 32, is a hold recommendation based on DRDGOLD's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that DRDGOLD has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing DRDGOLD shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 59 |
|
50 |
|
1 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 83 |
|
52 |
|
74 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 50 |
|
48 |
|
51 |
|
n/a |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 76 |
|
67 |
|
92 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 82 |
|
47 |
|
46 |
|
n/a |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2025, DRDGOLD shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for DRDGOLD. Sales Growth has a value of 55 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 55% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 63 and Capital Growth with a rank of 100 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 43, which means that stock returns have recently been below 57% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. DRDGOLD has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for DRDGOLD, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 11 |
|
85 |
|
51 |
|
n/a |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 39 |
|
78 |
|
64 |
|
n/a |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
31 |
|
37 |
|
n/a |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 8 |
|
9 |
|
63 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 3 |
|
45 |
|
59 |
|
n/a |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2025, the company DRDGOLD has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of DRDGOLD is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for DRDGOLD. Leverage is at 92, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 92% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 69, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 69% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 92, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives), DRDGOLD has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with DRDGOLD but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 96 |
|
94 |
|
92 |
|
n/a |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 36 |
|
71 |
|
67 |
|
n/a |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 79 |
|
96 |
|
90 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 96 |
|
99 |
|
97 |
|
n/a |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
70 |
|
74 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
18 |
|
66 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
18 |
|
79 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
18 |
|
80 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for DRDGOLD from January 9, 2025.
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