Fact based stock research
Ninety One Group (LSE:N91)

GB00BJHPLV88

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Ninety One Group stock research in summary

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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Ninety One Group (Asset Management & Custody, South Africa) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ninety One Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 100, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 9). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Ninety One Group's financial characteristics. As the company Ninety One Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 67) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 9) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 100), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 67% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	67
Growth Rank	9
Safety Rank	100
Combined Rank	73

Country	South Africa
Industry	Asset Management & Custody
Index	FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350, Diversity Europe, Independent Boards Growth Markets, Sound Pay Europe
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Ninety One Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	40	47	57	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	33	19	7	9
SAFETY
SAFETY	95	100	98	100
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	3	21	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	7	44	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Mar-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Ninety One Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	40	47	57	67
GROWTH
GROWTH	33	19	7	9
SAFETY
SAFETY	95	100	98	100
COMBINED
COMBINED	76	85	61	73

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Ninety One Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Ninety One Group shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Ninety One Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 58, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 58% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Ninety One Group's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 63% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 88 (dividends are expected to be higher than 88% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 71% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Ninety One Group to 29. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation based on Ninety One Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	52	43	47	58
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	59	43	49	63
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	14	21	25	29
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	96	80	82	88
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	40	47	57	67

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Ninety One Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), Ninety One Group shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Ninety One Group. Sales Growth has a rank of 8, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 14, and Capital Growth with 44. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 25, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 75% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	50	20	6	8
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	35	8	14
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	17	55	44
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	61	61	29	25
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	33	19	7	9

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Ninety One Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Ninety One Group has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Ninety One Group is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Ninety One Group. Leverage is at 68, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 97, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 97% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 91, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 91% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives), Ninety One Group has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Ninety One Group but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	100	50	50	68
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	57	93	97	97
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	83	98	91	91
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	95	100	98	100

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Ninety One Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	34	6	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	18	87	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	43	14	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	29	36	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	3	21	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Ninety One Group.
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