June 22, 2023
Top 10 Stock ABF Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: ABF – Top 10 Stock in FTSE 100 Index
ABF is listed as a top 10 stock on June 22, 2023 in the market index FTSE 100 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment from a financial fact perspective where only investor sentiment is a reason for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 75 (top 75% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for ABF on June 22, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | FTSE All Shares, FTSE 100, FTSE 350, Low Emissions, Energy Efficient, Human Rights, Water Efficiency |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View ABF Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | June 22, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 53 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 84 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 82 |
|
||||||
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 41 |
|
||||||
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 75 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock ABF are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for ABF. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 53, which means that the share price of ABF is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 53% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 84, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety Rank of 82. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of only 41. Professional investors are more confident in 59% other stocks. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a 360° View of 75, ABF is better positioned than 75% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 53), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 84), and safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 82), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the professional market sentiment is on the riskier side (Sentiment Rank of 41), but that could also mean an overreaction to negative news in the past. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been enjoying above average growth and are still a good value, this may not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of ABF is as challenging as the low price of the stock despite good growth and safe financing practices suggest. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you may want to reflect these negative opinions in light of what you find reasonable to expect for the future. If you believe this pessimistic view is transitory, you have a solid investment case based on current financial factors. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for ABF only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 41 (better than 41% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock ABF is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for ABF. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 24 (worse than 76% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 73, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in ABF. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 53, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 53% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 40, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 60% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 41 (less encouraging than 59% compared with investment alternatives), ABF has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for ABF. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: ABF Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), ABF shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for ABF. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 56, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning ABF's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 52% of alternatives (48% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 44 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 56% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 49, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 53, is a BUY recommendation based on ABF's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for ABF may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). ...read more
Growth Strategy: ABF Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with alternatives) for 2023, ABF shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for ABF. Sales Growth has a value of 70, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 70% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 53 and for Capital Growth with 59. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 76, which means they have been higher than 76% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 84, is a BUY recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, ABF exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. ...read more
Safety Strategy: ABF Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | June 22, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 82 |
|
||||||
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 67 |
|
||||||
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 62 |
|
||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 82 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company ABF has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of ABF is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for ABF. Leverage is at 82, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 82% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 67, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 62, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 62% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives), ABF has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: ABF Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 22, 2023 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 53 |
|
||||||
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 84 |
|
||||||
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 62 |
|
||||||
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 91 |
|
||||||
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with investment alternatives), ABF (Packaged Foods & Meats, United Kingdom) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of ABF are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Obermatt Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 84), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: An Obermatt Combined Rank of 91, is a strong buy recommendation based on ABF's financial characteristics. As the company ABF's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 84), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of ABF. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.