June 20, 2024
Top 10 Stock Advance Auto Parts Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Advance Auto Parts – Top 10 Stock in S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Index
Advance Auto Parts is listed as a top 10 stock on June 20, 2024 in the market index S&P US Luxury because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment from a financial fact perspective where only investor sentiment is a reason for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 78 (top 78% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for Advance Auto Parts on June 20, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | USA |
| Industry | Automotive Retail |
| Index | Dividends USA, S&P US Luxury, S&P 500 |
| Size class | X-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Advance Auto Parts Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | June 20, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 75 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 75 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 77 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 14 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 78 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2024, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Advance Auto Parts are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Advance Auto Parts. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 75, which means that the share price of Advance Auto Parts is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 75% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 75, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth, as well as stock returns. The company is also safely financed with a Safety Rank of 77. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of only 14. Professional investors are more confident in 86% other stocks. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 78, Advance Auto Parts is better positioned than 78% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Value Rank of 75), above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75), and safe financing practices (Safety Rank of 77), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely, unless information not publicly available. Only the professional market sentiment is on the riskier side (Sentiment Rank of 14), but that could also mean an overreaction to negative news in the past. Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. If they have been enjoying above average growth and are still a good value, this may not continue. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Advance Auto Parts is as challenging as the low price of the stock despite good growth and safe financing practices suggest. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you may want to reflect these negative opinions in light of what you find reasonable to expect for the future. If you believe this pessimistic view is transitory, you have a solid investment case based on current financial factors. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Advance Auto Parts negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 14 (better than 14% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Advance Auto Parts is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half the indicators below and the other half above average for Advance Auto Parts. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 10 (worse than 90% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. Worse, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 12, which means that stock research experts are getting more pessimistic. It doesn't end with the analysts. Market Pulse is also low with a rank of 26, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 74% of competitors). On the upside, the Professional Investors rank is 52, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 52% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. This could be due to a large company size, which could contribute to the higher share of professional investors in the company. If this is not the case, the low sentiment ranks are more challenging to explain. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 14 (less encouraging than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Advance Auto Parts has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. Should the company be on the smaller side, the presence of professional investors could be reassuring. That would make Advance Auto Parts stock something like a hidden gem. Investors should make sure with further research that this is true, because all other sentiment indicators are negative which is a sign for caution. ...read more
Value Strategy: Advance Auto Parts Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Advance Auto Parts shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Advance Auto Parts. Price-to-Sales is 53 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 53% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Advance Auto Parts's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 51% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 51. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Advance Auto Parts are expected to be higher than for 77% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 77). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation based on Advance Auto Parts's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Advance Auto Parts based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: Advance Auto Parts Growth Momentum high
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Advance Auto Parts shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Advance Auto Parts. Profit Growth, with a rank of 100 (better than 100% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 98, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 13, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 87% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 47. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Advance Auto Parts Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | June 20, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 57 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 77 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 33 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 77 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Advance Auto Parts has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Advance Auto Parts is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Advance Auto Parts.Leverage is at 57, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 57% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 77, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 77% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 33, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 67% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives), Advance Auto Parts has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Advance Auto Parts Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | June 20, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 75 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 75 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 33 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 95 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with investment alternatives), Advance Auto Parts (Automotive Retail, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Advance Auto Parts are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 75 (better than 75% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 77), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 95, is a strong buy recommendation based on Advance Auto Parts's financial characteristics. As the company Advance Auto Parts's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 75), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 77), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Advance Auto Parts. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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