Fact based stock research
Alamo Group (NYSE:ALG)

US0113111076

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Alamo Group stock research in summary

alamo-group.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with investment alternatives), Alamo Group (Heavy Machinery, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Alamo Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 76, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 13). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on Alamo Group's financial characteristics. As the company Alamo Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 13) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 76), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	55
Growth Rank	13
Safety Rank	76
Combined Rank	35

Country	USA
Industry	Heavy Machinery
Index
Size class	Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Alamo Group

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	41	67	36	55
GROWTH
GROWTH	34	51	91	13
SAFETY
SAFETY	25	71	84	76
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	98	98	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	93	96	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Alamo Group is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	41	67	36	55
GROWTH
GROWTH	34	51	91	13
SAFETY
SAFETY	25	71	84	76
COMBINED
COMBINED	20	75	86	35

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Alamo Group the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Alamo Group shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Alamo Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 51, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Alamo Group's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 59% of alternatives (41% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 47 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 53% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 48, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Alamo Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Alamo Group may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	48	62	44	51
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	54	56	51	48
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	34	64	36	59
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	38	47	46	47
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	41	67	36	55

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Alamo Group; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 13 (better than 13% compared with alternatives), Alamo Group shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Alamo Group. Sales Growth has a rank of 16, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 84% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 23, and Capital Growth with 35. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 37, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 63% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	30	25	75	16
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	85	50	75	23
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	84	84	35
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	66	51	77	37
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	34	51	91	13

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Alamo Group.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Alamo Group has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Alamo Group is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Alamo Group. Leverage is at 76, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 76% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 69, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 69% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 52, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 52% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives), Alamo Group has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Alamo Group but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	20	54	60	76
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	60	61	69	69
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	41	65	75	52
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	25	71	84	76

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Alamo Group and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	81	95	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	88	80	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	88	97	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	98	98	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Alamo Group.
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