July 13, 2023
Top 10 Stock ALD Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: ALD – Top 10 Stock in Société des Bourses Françaises Index SBF 120
ALD is listed as a top 10 stock on July 13, 2023 in the market index SBF 120 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. Only the Obermatt Value Rank exhibits above-average performance, which means that the stock is seen as critical by the professional community and other financial facts are below average, conveying mixed investment signals. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 30 (30% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for ALD on July 13, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | France |
| Industry | Trucking |
| Index | CAC All, SBF 120, Dividends Europe, Employee Focus EU, Diversity Europe, Sound Pay Europe |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View ALD Hold
| 360 METRICS | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 90 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 12 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 42 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 30 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 30 (better than 30% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock ALD are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ALD. Only the consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 90, which means that the share price of ALD is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means that the stock price is lower than for 90% of alternative stocks in the same industry. All other consolidated ranks are below average. The consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 29, which means that the company exhibits below-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. The consolidated Safety Rank has a riskier rank of 12, meaning the company has a riskier financing structure than 88% comparable companies when looking at the amount of its debt, its refinancing requirements, and its ability to service debt. Finally, professionals are more pessimistic about the stock than for 58% of alternative investment opportunities, reflected in the consolidated Sentiment Rank of 42. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 30, ALD is worse than 70% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Only one of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibits above-average performance, namely the Value Rank at a level of 90. All other ranks are below average, so proceed with caution. The company has below-average growth expectations (Growth Rank of 29), a riskier financing structure than the competition (Safety Rank of 12), and the market sentiment in the professional investor community ranking at (Sentiment Rank of 42) is negative. This combination is sensitive to a crisis, because high debt levels (low safety) require growth to finance the debt burden. It’s no wonder that the investor community indicators are skeptical (low sentiment). Good value is sometimes an indication that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this assessment. We recommend evaluating whether the future of ALD is as challenging as the low price of the stock suggests. Since the professional community is pessimistic, you might need to worry about the future of ALD. Only invest if you have solid reasons to believe that the low growth is temporary and the current market sentiment is an overreaction, possibly due to reputational issues in the past. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for ALD only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock ALD is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for ALD. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Analyst Opinions Change is also positive and has a rank of 67 which means that currently, stock research experts are getting even more optimistic about investments in ALD. But Market Pulse has a low rank of 30, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 70% of competitors). This is an essential sign of caution, as it could be the forebearer of bad news. Professional Investors are also somewhat absent with a rank of 24, which means that, currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 76% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. This is expected if the company is of a smaller size (medium or smaller). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 42 (less encouraging than 58% compared with investment alternatives), ALD has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. While the general news feeds in the professional market are negative, the analyst recommendations are optimistic about the company, and even increase their ratings despite the negative news. This is an ambiguous situation with positive and negative signals from the professional side. Investors should be on the lookout for negative news but not worry too much about it as long as the overall news is still positive. ...read more
Value Strategy: ALD Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2023, ALD shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for ALD. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 78 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 78% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning ALD's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 80, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 92. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 51% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 49). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 90, is a buy recommendation based on ALD's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that ALD has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing ALD shares. ...read more
Growth Strategy: ALD Growth Momentum low
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), ALD shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for ALD. Sales Growth has a rank of 31, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 69% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 49, and Capital Growth with 43. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 39, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 61% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. ...read more
Safety Strategy: ALD Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 20 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 19 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 19 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 12 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 12 (better than 12% compared with alternatives), the company ALD has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of ALD is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for ALD. Liquidity is at 19, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 81% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 20, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 80% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 19 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 81% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with alternatives), ALD has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing.
Combined financial peformance: ALD Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | July 13, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 90 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 29 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 19 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 34 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with investment alternatives), ALD (Trucking, France) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ALD are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 12), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 34, is a hold recommendation based on ALD's financial characteristics. As the company ALD's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 12), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 90% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. ...read more
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