March 21, 2024
Top 10 Stock Alstom Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Alstom – Top 10 Stock in Cotation Assistée en Continu Index CAC 40
Alstom is listed as a top 10 stock on March 21, 2024 in the market index CAC 40 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is below average and thus a signal for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 28 (28% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for Alstom on March 21, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | France |
| Industry | Heavy Machinery |
| Index | CAC 40, CAC All, SBF 120, Human Rights |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Alstom Hold
| 360 METRICS | March 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 90 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 73 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 9 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 6 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 28 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 28 (better than 28% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Alstom are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Alstom. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 90, which means that the share price of Alstom is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 90% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The consolidated Growth Rank has a good rank of 73, which means that the company experiences above-average growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 6. Professional investors are more confident in 94% other stocks. Worryingly, the company has risky financing, with a Safety rank of 9. This means 91% of comparable companies have a safer financing structure than Alstom. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 28, Alstom is worse than 72% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Even though half of the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, namely the Value Rank at 90 and the Growth Rank above-average at 73, the picture is still mixed. The professional investor community is skeptical, with the Sentiment Rank below-average at 6. In addition, the company financing structure is on the riskier side (Safety Rank of 9). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. One may be tempted by above-average growth, but that could also change quickly, as past performance is not a good indicator of future performance. Since the financing structure is on the risky side, investors should be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Alstom negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Alstom is critical, mostly below average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Alstom. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 30 (worse than 70% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 54, which means that stock research experts have found something to make them more positive about investing in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Alstom. But the Professional Investors rank is low at 22, which means that professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 78% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. Market Pulse is also low at a rank of 5, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 95% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 6 (less encouraging than 94% compared with investment alternatives), Alstom has a reputation among professional investors that is far below that of its competitors. These are quite a few negative sentiment signals. One may want to trust the analysts that are changing their opinions. They may be early indications of better times, especially if the company is a smaller one. But If they are an extra large company, they should have more professional stockholders than are currently present. ...read more
Value Strategy: Alstom Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Alstom shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Alstom. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 93, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 93% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Alstom's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 91% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 93. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 47% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Alstom (a Dividend Yield Rank of 47). 53% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 90, is a buy recommendation based on Alstom's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Alstom Growth Momentum good
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with alternatives), Alstom shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Alstom. Sales Growth has a value of 60 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 60% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 89 and Capital Growth with a rank of 82 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 3, which means that stock returns have recently been below 97% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Alstom has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Alstom, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Alstom Debt Financing Safety risky
| SAFETY METRICS | March 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 56 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 1 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 13 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 9 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 9 (better than 9% compared with alternatives), the company Alstom has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Alstom is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Alstom and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 56 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 56% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 1, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 13, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 87% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 9 (worse than 91% compared with alternatives), Alstom has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Alstom are on the safer side. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Alstom Above-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | March 21, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 90 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 73 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 13 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 71 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Alstom (Heavy Machinery, France) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Alstom are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 73) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 9), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Alstom's financial characteristics. As the company Alstom's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 73), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 9) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. ...read more
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