October 31, 2024
Top 10 Stock ArcelorMittal Hold Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: ArcelorMittal – Top 10 Stock in Cotation Assistée en Continu Index CAC 40
ArcelorMittal is listed as a top 10 stock on October 31, 2024 in the market index CAC 40 because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. While half the consolidated Obermatt Ranks are above-average, investor sentiment is negative and growth performance is below market average, both a sign for caution. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 47 (47% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall hold recommendation for ArcelorMittal on October 31, 2024.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Luxembourg |
| Industry | Steel |
| Index | AEX, CAC 40, CAC All, SBF 120, IBEX 35, Low Emissions, Human Rights |
| Size class | XX-Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View ArcelorMittal Hold
| 360 METRICS | October 31, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 68 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 24 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 66 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 46 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 47 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 47 (better than 47% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock ArcelorMittal are below the industry average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half the metrics below and half above average for ArcelorMittal. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 68, which means that the share price of ArcelorMittal is on the lower side compared with the typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 68% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 66. But the professional market sentiment is below average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 46. Professional investors are more confident in 54% other stocks. The consolidated Growth Rank also has a low rank of 24, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, invested capital growth, and stock returns. 76 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 47, ArcelorMittal is worse than 53% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. The picture is mixed here. The stock seems to be a good value (Value Rank of 68), and the financing structure is on the safer side (Safety Rank of 66). However, sentiment in the professional investor community is below-average (Sentiment Rank of 46), as is the growth momentum for the company (Growth Rank of 24). Since the company is good value and the share price low, it should attract investors, yet professionals are skeptical. Even though the financing structure is not as important as Value, Growth, and Sentiment, investors should still be careful with this decision and conduct further research if they are serious about investing in this company. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for ArcelorMittal only reserved
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 46 (better than 46% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock ArcelorMittal is below industry average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for ArcelorMittal. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 63 (better than 63% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. Market Pulse is also positive with a rank of 83, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are positive when discussing this company (more positive news than for 83% of competitors). But Analyst Opinions Change is negative with a below 50 rank of 9, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the worse in recommending the company. In other words, they are getting more critical of investments in ArcelorMittal. There are also only so many institutional investors holding company stock with a Professional Investors rank of 22, which means that, currently, professional investors hold less stock in this company than in 78% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to invest in other companies. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 46 (less encouraging than 54% compared with investment alternatives), ArcelorMittal has a reputation among professional investors that is below that of its competitors. The signals are ambivalent. The positive news in the market contradicts the negative change in analyst recommendations. Since the overall analyst recommendations are still above average, the stock may be safer for investing, especially if it is not an extra-large company where Pros tend to be less present. In such a case, the Pro Investor rank is not a problem. ...read more
Value Strategy: ArcelorMittal Stock Price Value better than average
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 68 (better than 68% compared with alternatives), ArcelorMittal shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for ArcelorMittal. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 78, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 78% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding ArcelorMittal's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 86% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 83. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 30% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than ArcelorMittal (a Dividend Yield Rank of 30). 70% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 68, is a buy recommendation based on ArcelorMittal's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. ...read more
Growth Strategy: ArcelorMittal Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 24 (better than 24% compared with alternatives), ArcelorMittal shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for ArcelorMittal. Sales Growth has a below market rank of 27, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 73% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 45, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 17. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 83% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 66, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 66% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 24, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for ArcelorMittal, and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: ArcelorMittal Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | October 31, 2024 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 71 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 60 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 47 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 66 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), the company ArcelorMittal has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of ArcelorMittal is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for ArcelorMittal.Leverage is at 71, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 71% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 60, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 60% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 47, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 53% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 66 (better than 66% compared with alternatives), ArcelorMittal has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: ArcelorMittal Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | October 31, 2024 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 68 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 24 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 47 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 47 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with investment alternatives), ArcelorMittal (Steel, Luxembourg) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of ArcelorMittal are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 68 (better than 68% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 66, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 24). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on ArcelorMittal's financial characteristics. As the company ArcelorMittal's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 68) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 24) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 66), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 68% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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