August 10, 2023
Top 10 Stock AP (Thailand) Strong Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: AP (Thailand) – Top 10 Stock in Real Estate in Growth Markets
AP (Thailand) is listed as a top 10 stock on August 10, 2023 in the market index R/E Growth Markets because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 84 (top 84% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall strong buy recommendation for AP (Thailand) on August 10, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Thailand |
| Industry | Real Estate Development |
| Index | R/E Growth Markets |
| Size class | Large |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View AP (Thailand) Strong Buy
| 360 METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 91 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 96 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 57 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 84 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 84 (better than 84% compared with alternatives) for 2023, overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock AP (Thailand) are very positive. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for AP (Thailand). The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 91, which means that the share price of AP (Thailand) is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 91% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 96. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 57. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 15, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 85 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 84, AP (Thailand) is better positioned than 84% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 91), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 96), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 57). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 15), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of AP (Thailand) is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for AP (Thailand) positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock AP (Thailand) is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with all but one indicator above average for AP (Thailand). Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternative investments), which means that, currently, stock research analysts tend to recommend a stock investment in the company. In addition, Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 54, which means that stock research experts are changing their opinions for the better in recommending investing in the company. In other words, they are getting even more optimistic about investments in AP (Thailand). Finally, the Professional Investors rank is 85, which means that currently, professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 85% of alternative investment opportunities. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 57 (more positive than 57% compared with investment alternatives), AP (Thailand) has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But there is also a signal for caution. Market Pulse has a rank of 11, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks tend to be negative when discussing this company (more negative news than for 89% of competitors). This could mean future risks and should make investors careful. Attention to negative news for AP (Thailand) is worthwhile because they may be early warning signals. Without those, all other professional signals are encouraging, especially since analysts are getting more optimistic. ...read more
Value Strategy: AP (Thailand) Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2023, AP (Thailand) shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for AP (Thailand). Price-to-Sales is 90 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 90% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for AP (Thailand)'s revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 84% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 73. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of AP (Thailand) are expected to be higher than for 82% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 82). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation based on AP (Thailand)'s stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in AP (Thailand) based on its detailed value metrics.
Growth Strategy: AP (Thailand) Growth Momentum negative
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), AP (Thailand) shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for AP (Thailand). Sales Growth has a below market rank of 30, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors. The same is valid for Capital Growth, with a rank of 18, and Profit Growth, with a rank of 41. Currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 59% of its competitors). Only shareholders are optimistic. Stock Returns are above average at a rank of 61, which means that the stock returns have recently been above 61% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That picture may be the result for a company that has reached the bottom. All went south for AP (Thailand), and it still looks bad, but some investors already see light at the end of the tunnel, rewarding the stock with recent above-market stock returns. It could also mean that investors are correcting an overreaction to negative news. If that were the case, the positive stock returns are not yet a sign of recovery. Investors should look closely at the Value and Sentiment indicators before they make a stock purchasing decision, because growth is unlikely to be the driving argument behind this investment. ...read more
Safety Strategy: AP (Thailand) Debt Financing Safety very solid
| SAFETY METRICS | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 56 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 88 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 96 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 96 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2023, the company AP (Thailand) has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of AP (Thailand) is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for AP (Thailand). Leverage is at 56, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 56% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 88, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 96, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives), AP (Thailand) has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: AP (Thailand) Top Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | August 10, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 91 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 15 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 96 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 86 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 86 (better than 86% compared with investment alternatives), AP (Thailand) (Real Estate Development, Thailand) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of AP (Thailand) are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 15). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 86, is a strong buy recommendation based on AP (Thailand)'s financial characteristics. As the company AP (Thailand)'s key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 15) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 91% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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